Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 47%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.91%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.
Result | ||
San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Minnesota United |
47% ( 0) | 22.65% ( 0) | 30.35% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 64.21% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.66% ( -0.01) | 36.34% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.54% ( -0.01) | 58.46% ( 0.01) |
San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.09% ( -0) | 15.91% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.85% ( -0.01) | 45.15% ( 0.01) |
Minnesota United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.36% ( -0.01) | 23.64% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.26% ( -0.01) | 57.74% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Minnesota United |
2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.91% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.36% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.62% 3-2 @ 4.05% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.89% 4-1 @ 2.58% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.86% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.79% 5-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.82% Total : 47% | 1-1 @ 9.97% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.61% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.76% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.95% ( -0) Other @ 0.36% Total : 22.65% | 1-2 @ 7.19% 0-1 @ 5.42% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.91% 1-3 @ 3.46% 2-3 @ 3.18% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.88% 1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 2.93% Total : 30.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 31 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 30 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 23 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
5 | Toronto | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 22 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 21 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 21 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 17 |
9 | DC United | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Orlando City | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
11 | Nashville SCNashville | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 15 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 13 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 12 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 25 | -16 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 28 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 24 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
4 | Austin FCAustin | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 21 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 21 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 19 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 18 |
9 | St Louis City | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 13 |
12 | Dallas | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 12 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 10 |