Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dallas | 28 | 7 | 42 |
2 | Minnesota United | 26 | 6 | 41 |
3 | Real Salt Lake | 26 | -1 | 38 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | Chicago Fire | 26 | -8 | 30 |
8 | Houston Dynamo | 26 | -11 | 26 |
9 | Sporting Kansas City | 27 | -15 | 26 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 55.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 21.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.
Result | ||
Minnesota United | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
55.32% ( -0.23) | 22.94% ( 0.05) | 21.74% ( 0.18) |
Both teams to score 54.54% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.74% ( -0.01) | 45.26% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.4% ( -0.01) | 67.6% ( 0.01) |
Minnesota United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.78% ( -0.08) | 16.22% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.28% ( -0.15) | 45.72% ( 0.15) |
Houston Dynamo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.1% ( 0.16) | 34.91% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.35% ( 0.17) | 71.65% ( -0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Minnesota United | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
1-0 @ 10.29% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.37% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.72% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 55.31% | 1-1 @ 10.83% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.66% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.93% | 0-1 @ 5.96% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.02% Total : 21.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 28 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 27 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 23 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 20 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 20 |
6 | Toronto | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
7 | Columbus Crew | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 18 |
8 | DC United | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 17 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 14 |
10 | Nashville SCNashville | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 14 |
11 | Orlando City | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 13 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 12 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 25 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 21 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 21 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 21 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 21 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 19 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 18 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 17 |
9 | St Louis City | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 13 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
13 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 10 |