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Minnesota United
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 13
Jul 4, 2021 at 1am UK
National Sports Center
San Jose Earthquakes

Minnesota Utd
2 - 2
Earthquakes

Kallman (45+4'), Abila (69')
Dibassy (85'), Alonso (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cowell (15'), Kikanovic (82')
Remedi (32'), Espinoza (68'), Marie (90+5')

Preview: Minnesota United vs. San Jose Earthquakes - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Minnesota United and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Minnesota United will look to strengthen their position in the Western Conference on Saturday evening when they play host to out-of-form San Jose Earthquakes.

While the home side have put together a lengthy unbeaten streak in the MLS, the visitors have lost five of their last six fixtures.


Match preview

Minnesota United midfielder Adrien Hunou celebrates with teammates after scoring a goal on June 27, 2021© Reuters

After a slow start to the season, Minnesota already find themselves 11 points adrift of Western Conference leaders Seattle Sounders.

Nevertheless, Adrian Heath's side are now unbeaten in six matches, their latest victory coming at the weekend as they edged out Portland Timbers on away territory.

Scoring goals remains a problem for Minnesota with just seven strikes being recorded during the current period, but four clean sheets have kept the team heading in the right direction.

Adrien Hunou and Franco Fragapane have stepped up in the absence of Robin Lod, scoring two goals apiece while their teammate has been representing Finland at Euro 2020.

Although the playmaker is expected to remain absent for this game, Heath will have complete belief in a group of players who will feel that they should be placed higher than their current fifth position.

In sharp contrast, Earthquakes boss Matias Almeyda has increasing concerns about the development of his own squad after their dismal run of results.

Their only point in seven matches came from the fixture against lowly Austin FC with just two goals coming in the other six contests.

Cade Cowell ended a seven-game drought in the 3-1 defeat against Los Angeles Galaxy, but the 17-year-old only found the back of the net once the match was already over as a contest.

The Earthquakes now face three successive away games against teams in the top five, a sequence of fixtures which could make or break whether Almeyda remains in the dugout.

Minnesota United Major League Soccer form:
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • W

San Jose Earthquakes Major League Soccer form:
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • L



Team News

San Jose Earthquakes head coach Matias Almeyda on May 30, 2021© Reuters

Heath is unlikely to make major alterations to his Minnesota XI after they held on to a 1-0 lead against the Timbers for 88 minutes.

Ethan Finlay is an alternative on the right-hand side of midfield, but Lod, Jan Gregus and Jukka Raitala will only be named on the substitutes' bench at best.

Cowell is in line to return to the Earthquakes starting lineup, potentially taking the place of Chris Wondolowski.

Andres Rios produced a lively cameo during the latter stages against Galaxy, putting him in contention to get the nod over Judson.

Marcos Lopez remains unavailable as he continues to represent Peru at the Copa America.

Minnesota United possible starting lineup:
Miller; Metanire, Boxall, Dibassy, Gasper; Finlay, Trapp, Dotson, Fragapane; Hunou, Reynoso

San Jose Earthquakes possible starting lineup:
Marcinkowski; Marie, Jungwirth, Alanis, Salinas; Lopez, Rios, Remedi, Yueill, Espinoza; Cowell


SM words green background

We say: Minnesota United 2-0 San Jose Earthquakes

With these two sides heading in opposite directions, we can only predict one result. While the Earthquakes will eventually have to improve at both ends of the pitch, they may line up more defensively here, restricting their hosts to a two-goal win.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 55.77%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 21.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.57%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Minnesota Utd vs Earthquakes

Minnesota United
84.6%
Draw
15.4%
San Jose Earthquakes
0.0%
13
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1163226161021
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati10532129318
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls104511410417
4Toronto105141113-216
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6New York City FCNY City104241110114
7Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia93421714313
8DC United103431415-113
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta9333139412
10CF MontrealMontreal93331216-412
11Charlotte FCCharlotte FC103251013-311
12Chicago Fire102441118-710
13Orlando City92341117-69
14Nashville SCNashville91531017-78
15New England RevolutionNew England9117618-124

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake10532179818
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy105322117418
3Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver95221810817
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd95221510517
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles104331816215
6Colorado RapidsColorado104331615115
7Austin FCAustin104331413115
8Houston DynamoHouston9414910-113
9St Louis City92611514112
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas102531818011
11Portland TimbersPortland102442021-110
12Seattle SoundersSeattle10235131309
13Dallas9225912-38
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes101181425-114


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