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Championship | Gameweek 13
Oct 25, 2023 at 8pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Leeds logo

Stoke
1 - 0
Leeds

Struijk (80' og.)
Thompson (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gnonto (68'), Rutter (78'), Summerville (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 2-1 Sunderland
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 2-3 Leeds
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-2 Leeds United

Stoke City are bound to take some confidence from their return to winning ways at the weekend, but they face a Leeds United side who have an abundance of confidence and momentum. The Whites now look to be making their quality count under Farke, and we fancy them to make it four straight Championship wins on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawLeeds United
38.74% (-0.656 -0.66) 25.1% (0.417 0.42) 36.15% (0.23500000000001 0.24)
Both teams to score 57.34% (-1.473 -1.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.83% (-1.917 -1.92)46.17% (1.913 1.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.53% (-1.837 -1.84)68.46% (1.831 1.83)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.42% (-1.185 -1.19)23.57% (1.182 1.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.36% (-1.741 -1.74)57.64% (1.737 1.74)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.03% (-0.756 -0.76)24.96% (0.75 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.39% (-1.059 -1.06)59.61% (1.055 1.06)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 38.74%
    Leeds United 36.15%
    Draw 25.1%
Stoke CityDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 8.53% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-0 @ 8.5% (0.391 0.39)
2-0 @ 6.14% (0.074 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.11% (-0.187 -0.19)
3-0 @ 2.96% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.85% (-0.196 -0.2)
4-1 @ 1.48% (-0.123 -0.12)
4-0 @ 1.07% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.11 -0.11)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 38.74%
1-1 @ 11.8% (0.3 0.3)
2-2 @ 5.92% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-0 @ 5.89% (0.463 0.46)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.122 -0.12)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.1%
1-2 @ 8.19% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
0-1 @ 8.17% (0.477 0.48)
0-2 @ 5.67% (0.213 0.21)
1-3 @ 3.79% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.74% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-3 @ 2.62% (0.043 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.31% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-4 @ 0.91% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 36.15%

How you voted: Stoke vs Leeds

Stoke City
12.8%
Draw
8.5%
Leeds United
78.7%
47
Head to Head
Sep 1, 2020 1pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Stoke
3-0
Leeds
Collins (1'), Gregory (2'), Ince (3')
Jul 9, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 42
Leeds
5-0
Stoke
Aug 27, 2019 7.45pm
Second Round
Leeds
2-2
Stoke
Stoke win 5-4 on penalties
Nketiah (67'), Costa (81')
McCalmont (33'), Douglas (90')
Batth (39'), Vokes (44')
Martins Indi (22'), Carter-Vickers (60')
Aug 24, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 5
Stoke
0-3
Leeds
Dallas (42'), Alioski (50'), Bamford (66')
Nketiah (80'), Phillips (90+4')
Jan 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 28
Stoke
2-1
Leeds
Clucas (49'), Allen (88')
Adam (58')
Alioski (90')
Forshaw (17'), Jansson (19'), Hernandez (63')
Jansson (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
2Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
3Ipswich TownIpswich432611685533289
4Southampton452591185622384
5Norwich CityNorwich4521101479631673
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City441912136556969
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4417131468551364
10Preston North EndPreston44189175661-563
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524


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