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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 45.86%. A win for Cardiff City has a probability of 29.87% and a draw has a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.9%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Cardiff City win is 2-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.35%).
Result | ||
Cardiff City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
29.87% ( 0.2) | 24.28% ( 0.02) | 45.86% ( -0.22) |
Both teams to score 58.04% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.67% ( 0.03) | 44.33% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.3% ( 0.03) | 66.71% ( -0.03) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.07% ( 0.16) | 27.93% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.45% ( 0.2) | 63.56% ( -0.19) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.53% ( -0.08) | 19.48% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.66% ( -0.13) | 51.34% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Cardiff City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
2-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.08% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.81% Total : 29.87% | 1-1 @ 11.35% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.28% | 1-2 @ 9.29% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.9% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.28% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 5.06% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.23% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.07% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.32% ( -0) Other @ 3.11% Total : 45.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
P | Leicester CityLeicester | 44 | 30 | 4 | 10 | 86 | 39 | 47 | 94 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 45 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 80 | 41 | 39 | 90 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 43 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 85 | 53 | 32 | 89 |
4 | Southampton | 45 | 25 | 9 | 11 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 84 |
5 | Norwich CityNorwich | 45 | 21 | 10 | 14 | 79 | 63 | 16 | 73 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 45 | 20 | 12 | 13 | 67 | 47 | 20 | 72 |
7 | Hull City | 44 | 19 | 12 | 13 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 69 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 68 | 61 | 7 | 66 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 44 | 17 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 56 | 61 | -5 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 45 | 19 | 5 | 21 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 62 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 45 | 15 | 12 | 18 | 59 | 64 | -5 | 57 |
14 | Watford | 45 | 13 | 17 | 15 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 56 |
15 | Sunderland | 45 | 16 | 8 | 21 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Millwall | 45 | 15 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 56 |
17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 53 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 60 | -15 | 53 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 58 | 74 | -16 | 50 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 45 | 14 | 8 | 23 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 50 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 45 | 12 | 12 | 21 | 58 | 70 | -12 | 48 |
22 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 45 | 12 | 11 | 22 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 47 |
23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 45 | 9 | 18 | 18 | 48 | 75 | -27 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 45 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 32 | 87 | -55 | 24 |
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