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Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Cardiff
1 - 4
Middlesbrough

Bowler (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Clarke (45'), Azaz (49'), Latte Lath (56'), Gilbert (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 2-1 Southampton
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 3-4 Leeds
Monday, April 22 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 2-1 Middlesbrough

This is a fixture with two evenly-matched sides who have collected regular points of late, making this a difficult match to predict. However, with Boro now three games without success on their travels, we are backing Cardiff to edge this contest by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 45.86%. A win for Cardiff City has a probability of 29.87% and a draw has a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.9%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Cardiff City win is 2-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.35%).

Result
Cardiff CityDrawMiddlesbrough
29.87% (0.205 0.2) 24.28% (0.019000000000002 0.02) 45.86% (-0.219 -0.22)
Both teams to score 58.04% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.67% (0.033999999999999 0.03)44.33% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.3% (0.031999999999996 0.03)66.71% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.07% (0.157 0.16)27.93% (-0.151 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.45% (0.196 0.2)63.56% (-0.191 -0.19)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.53% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)19.48% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.66% (-0.13 -0.13)51.34% (0.13500000000001 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 29.87%
    Middlesbrough 45.86%
    Draw 24.28%
Cardiff CityDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 7.24% (0.034 0.03)
1-0 @ 6.94% (0.021 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.43% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.08% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.52% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.88% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 0.98% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 29.87%
1-1 @ 11.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.92% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.44% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.37% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.28%
1-2 @ 9.29% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-1 @ 8.9% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 7.28% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-3 @ 5.06% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.97% (-0.035 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.07% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.62% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.32% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 45.86%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Middlesbrough

Cardiff City
45.0%
Draw
30.0%
Middlesbrough
25.0%
20
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Middlesbrough
2-0
Cardiff
Jones (56'), Latte Lath (84')
Greenwood (75')

Grant (32'), Ng (36'), Goutas (80')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Cardiff
1-3
Middlesbrough
Kaba (25')
Forss (17'), Archer (38'), McGree (90')
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Middlesbrough
2-3
Cardiff
Watmore (76'), Muniz (77')
O'Dowda (4'), Harris (20'), Ng (45')
Apr 27, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 39
Middlesbrough
2-0
Cardiff
Tavernier (28'), McGree (53')
Jones (88'), Howson (90')

Nelson (27'), Wintle (33'), Denham (62'), Vaulks (90')
Oct 23, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 14
Cardiff
0-2
Middlesbrough

Pack (28'), McGuinness (34'), Flint (70')
Sporar (35' pen.), Payero (74')
Ikpeazu (38')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
2Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
3Ipswich TownIpswich432611685533289
4Southampton452591185622384
5Norwich CityNorwich4521101479631673
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City441912136556969
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4417131468551364
10Preston North EndPreston44189175661-563
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524


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