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Championship | Gameweek 42
Apr 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Birmingham
0 - 1
Cardiff


Bielik (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bowler (65')
Ng (47'), Bowler (58'), Ralls (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leicester 2-1 Birmingham
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 1-3 Hull City
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 1-0 Cardiff City

Despite the heartbreaking nature of the defeat at Leicester, there were plenty of positives to take from the performance for Birmingham, who simply need to pick up points at St Andrew's over the next week. Cardiff's season is all but over, and we can envisage the visitors producing another limp performance on Wednesday night to continue their poor run of form. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawCardiff City
43.04% (-0.178 -0.18) 26.16% (0.13 0.13) 30.81% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 52.34% (-0.384 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.02% (-0.506 -0.51)51.98% (0.506 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.28% (-0.441 -0.44)73.72% (0.43899999999999 0.44)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.02% (-0.31 -0.31)23.98% (0.308 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.78% (-0.444 -0.44)58.22% (0.443 0.44)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.85% (-0.22499999999999 -0.22)31.15% (0.223 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.52% (-0.262 -0.26)67.48% (0.259 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 43.03%
    Cardiff City 30.81%
    Draw 26.16%
Birmingham CityDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 10.66% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.62% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.23% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.63% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.51% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.29% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 43.03%
1-1 @ 12.44% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 7.47% (0.149 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.16%
0-1 @ 8.71% (0.121 0.12)
1-2 @ 7.26% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.08% (0.04 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.82% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.98% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 30.81%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Cardiff

Birmingham City
55.8%
Draw
17.4%
Cardiff City
26.7%
86
Head to Head
Dec 13, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Cardiff
0-1
Birmingham

Meite (55')
Bacuna (45+3')
Sunjic (42'), Dembele (63')
Aug 29, 2023 7.45pm
Second Round
Birmingham
1-3
Cardiff
Hogan (70')
Oakley (35'), Cosgrove (76')
Jutkiewicz (56')
Colwill (3'), Wintle (68'), Etete (90+4')
Rinomhota (23'), Etete (50'), Romeo (90+3')
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Birmingham
0-2
Cardiff
Ng (84'), Robinson (90+5')
Aug 13, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 3
Cardiff
1-0
Birmingham
Philogene-Bidace (17')
Ojo (90+1')

Hogan (51'), James (70'), Trusty (90'), Colin (90+6')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 45
Cardiff
1-1
Birmingham
Vaulks (82' pen.)
McGuinness (48'), Drameh (57'), Nelson (67'), Vaulks (76')
Bela (22')
Gordon (58'), Etheridge (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
2Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
3Ipswich TownIpswich442612688563290
4Southampton452591185622384
5Norwich CityNorwich4521101479631673
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City451913136859970
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4417131468551364
10Preston North EndPreston44189175661-563
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524


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