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Championship | Gameweek 21
Dec 13, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Birmingham logo

Cardiff
0 - 1
Birmingham


Meite (55')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bacuna (45+3')
Sunjic (42'), Dembele (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 1-0 Millwall
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 2-0 Birmingham
Friday, December 8 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 2-1 Birmingham City

Cardiff have not been at their best in recent weeks but will be confident of recording back-to-back wins as Birmingham visit South Wales on Wednesday. Blues have lost their last eight away matches and have shown little signs of improvement since Rooney took charge, meaning it is hard to predict anything other than a Bluebirds victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 49.92%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 24.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (7.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawBirmingham City
49.92% (0.35 0.35) 25.5% (0.165 0.17) 24.58% (-0.516 -0.52)
Both teams to score 49.93% (-0.994 -0.99)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47% (-1.056 -1.06)53% (1.055 1.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.41% (-0.906 -0.91)74.59% (0.90600000000001 0.91)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.75% (-0.28100000000001 -0.28)21.25% (0.28 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.84% (-0.435 -0.44)54.16% (0.434 0.43)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.41% (-1.032 -1.03)36.59% (1.031 1.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.62% (-1.049 -1.05)73.37% (1.047 1.05)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 49.92%
    Birmingham City 24.58%
    Draw 25.49%
Cardiff CityDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 12.04% (0.4 0.4)
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 9.33% (0.228 0.23)
3-1 @ 4.84% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.82% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.098 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.87% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.86% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 49.92%
1-1 @ 12.1% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.77% (0.318 0.32)
2-2 @ 4.71% (-0.149 -0.15)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 25.49%
0-1 @ 7.82% (0.107 0.11)
1-2 @ 6.09% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-2 @ 3.93% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.04% (-0.106 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.32% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 24.58%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Birmingham

Cardiff City
76.2%
Draw
11.9%
Birmingham City
11.9%
42
Head to Head
Aug 29, 2023 7.45pm
Second Round
Birmingham
1-3
Cardiff
Hogan (70')
Oakley (35'), Cosgrove (76')
Jutkiewicz (56')
Colwill (3'), Wintle (68'), Etete (90+4')
Rinomhota (23'), Etete (50'), Romeo (90+3')
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Birmingham
0-2
Cardiff
Ng (84'), Robinson (90+5')
Aug 13, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 3
Cardiff
1-0
Birmingham
Philogene-Bidace (17')
Ojo (90+1')

Hogan (51'), James (70'), Trusty (90'), Colin (90+6')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 45
Cardiff
1-1
Birmingham
Vaulks (82' pen.)
McGuinness (48'), Drameh (57'), Nelson (67'), Vaulks (76')
Bela (22')
Gordon (58'), Etheridge (82')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 22
Birmingham
2-2
Cardiff
Deeney (29'), Sunjic (45+1')
Sunjic (63'), Friend (85')
Moore (66'), McGuinness (90+1')
Nelson (16'), Ralls (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
2Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
3Ipswich TownIpswich442612688563290
4Southampton452591185622384
5Norwich CityNorwich4521101479631673
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City451913136859970
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4417131468551364
10Preston North EndPreston44189175661-563
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524


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