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Premier League | Gameweek 35
Apr 28, 2024 at 2pm UK
Vitality Stadium
Brighton logo

Bournemouth
vs.
Brighton

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Bournemouth and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wolves 0-1 Bournemouth
Wednesday, April 24 at 7.45pm in Premier League

We say: Bournemouth 2-1 Brighton & Hove Albion

Bournemouth brought an end to their three-game run without victory thanks to Antoine Semenyo's first-half goal against Wolves last time out, while Brighton extended their winless streak to five matches with a 4-0 loss to Man City. The Cherries have avoided defeat in any of their last five games at the Vitality Stadium, and we expect them to continue that run with victory against an out-of-sorts Brighton side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bournemouth win with a probability of 42.25%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion has a probability of 35.46% and a draw has a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (5.63%) and 3-1 (5.15%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win is 1-2 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.32%).

Result
BournemouthDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
42.25% (0.198 0.2) 22.29% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05) 35.46% (-0.14899999999999 -0.15)
Both teams to score 67.82% (0.14699999999999 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.49% (0.206 0.21)32.5% (-0.204 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.85% (0.238 0.24)54.15% (-0.236 -0.24)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.82% (0.161 0.16)16.18% (-0.159 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.35% (0.292 0.29)45.65% (-0.291 -0.29)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.91% (0.022000000000006 0.02)19.09% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.3% (0.039000000000001 0.04)50.7% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Bournemouth 42.25%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 35.46%
    Draw 22.29%
BournemouthDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 8.48% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.63% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.15% (0.031 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.12%
3-2 @ 4.27% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.11% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.35% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.94% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.42% (0.015 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.07% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 42.25%
1-1 @ 9.32% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-2 @ 7.03% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.09% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-3 @ 2.36% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 22.29%
1-2 @ 7.71% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.12% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.26% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.24% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.88% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.34% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.76% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.61% (0.004 0)
3-4 @ 0.98% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 0.97% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 35.46%

Who will win Sunday's Premier League clash between Bournemouth and Brighton?

Bournemouth
Draw
Brighton & Hove Albion
Bournemouth
69.0%
Draw
17.2%
Brighton & Hove Albion
13.8%
87
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 6
Brighton
3-1
Bournemouth
Kerkez (45+2' og.), Mitoma (46', 77')
Veltman (37'), Gilmour (45+3'), Dunk (75')
Solanke (25')
Zabarnyi (41'), Brooks (89'), Senesi (90+6')
Apr 4, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Bournemouth
0-2
Brighton
Ferguson (28'), Enciso (90+1')
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Jan 21, 2020 7.30pm
Dec 28, 2019 12.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal34245582265677
2Manchester CityMan City33237380324876
3Liverpool35229477364175
4Aston Villa35207873522167
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs32186865491660
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd34166125251154
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle341651374551953
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham351310125665-949
9Chelsea33139116359448
10Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35137154855-746
11Bournemouth34129134960-1145
12Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton331111115254-244
13Fulham35127165155-443
14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
15Everton35128153748-1136
16Brentford3598185260-835
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479184260-1826
18Luton TownLuton3567224877-2925
19Burnley3559213870-3224
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd3537253497-6316


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