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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 42.09%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cardiff City | Draw | Norwich City |
42.09% ( 1.38) | 26.54% ( 0.45) | 31.37% ( -1.83) |
Both teams to score 51.36% ( -2.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.65% ( -2.36) | 53.35% ( 2.36) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.11% ( -2.03) | 74.89% ( 2.03) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.93% ( -0.35) | 25.07% ( 0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.25% ( -0.49) | 59.75% ( 0.49) |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.54% ( -2.4) | 31.45% ( 2.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.16% ( -2.88) | 67.83% ( 2.88) |
Score Analysis |
Cardiff City | Draw | Norwich City |
1-0 @ 10.9% ( 0.87) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.53) 3-1 @ 4.03% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.47% Total : 42.08% | 1-1 @ 12.61% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.7) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.31) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.54% | 0-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.37) 0-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.35) 0-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.23) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.26) Other @ 2.88% Total : 31.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
P | Leicester CityLeicester | 44 | 30 | 4 | 10 | 86 | 39 | 47 | 94 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 45 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 80 | 41 | 39 | 90 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 44 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 88 | 56 | 32 | 90 |
4 | Southampton | 45 | 25 | 9 | 11 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 84 |
5 | Norwich CityNorwich | 45 | 21 | 10 | 14 | 79 | 63 | 16 | 73 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 45 | 20 | 12 | 13 | 67 | 47 | 20 | 72 |
7 | Hull City | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 59 | 9 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 68 | 61 | 7 | 66 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 44 | 17 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 56 | 61 | -5 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 45 | 19 | 5 | 21 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 62 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 45 | 15 | 12 | 18 | 59 | 64 | -5 | 57 |
14 | Watford | 45 | 13 | 17 | 15 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 56 |
15 | Sunderland | 45 | 16 | 8 | 21 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Millwall | 45 | 15 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 56 |
17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 53 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 60 | -15 | 53 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 58 | 74 | -16 | 50 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 45 | 14 | 8 | 23 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 50 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 45 | 12 | 12 | 21 | 58 | 70 | -12 | 48 |
22 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 45 | 12 | 11 | 22 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 47 |
23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 45 | 9 | 18 | 18 | 48 | 75 | -27 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 45 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 32 | 87 | -55 | 24 |
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