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Championship | Gameweek 14
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Bristol City

Cardiff
2 - 0
Bristol City

Ng (33'), Colwill (90+1')
Meite (54')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Dickie (9'), Mehmeti (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 0-1 Ipswich
Wednesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 2-1 Bristol City

Bristol City are bound to fight resiliently, as they have throughout the season with each of their last five games finishing with a one-goal margin, but their defensive options are almost exhausted, and with home advantage and the confidence from their dominant midweek display, we envisage the Bluebirds coming out on top in South Wales. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 45.99%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawBristol City
45.99%26.71% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05) 27.3% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 48.66% (0.18 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.22% (0.215 0.21)55.78% (-0.214 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.09% (0.174 0.17)76.91% (-0.172 -0.17)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.79% (0.094999999999999 0.09)24.21% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.45% (0.133 0.13)58.55% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.21% (0.157 0.16)35.79% (-0.158 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.43% (0.16 0.16)72.57% (-0.158 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 45.99%
    Bristol City 27.3%
    Draw 26.7%
Cardiff CityDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 12.29% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.96% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.72% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.23% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.12%
3-2 @ 2.18% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.46% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 45.99%
1-1 @ 12.62% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.67% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.6% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 26.7%
0-1 @ 8.9% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.49% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.57% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 2.22% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.58% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.57% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 27.3%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Bristol City

Cardiff City
72.4%
Draw
24.1%
Bristol City
3.4%
29
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 12.30pm
Aug 21, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 5
Bristol City
2-0
Cardiff
Conway (41'), Atkinson (64')
Massengo (36'), Vyner (60'), Williams (81'), Scott (89')

Kipre (63'), Colwill (75'), Wintle (89')
Jan 22, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 28
Bristol City
3-2
Cardiff
Martin (33', 63'), Weimann (77')
Pring (73')
Collins (31'), Watters (90')
Collins (23'), Ralls (44')
Aug 28, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 5
Cardiff
1-2
Bristol City
Bentley (59' og.)
Morrison (74'), Ralls (87')
Weimann (21', 70')
Semenyo (74'), Martin (74')
Feb 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 28
Bristol City
0-2
Cardiff

Lansbury (45+8'), Mawson (45+11'), Hunt (71')
Nelson (18'), Moore (25')
Phillips (75'), Nelson (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
2Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
3Ipswich TownIpswich442612688563290
4Southampton452591185622384
5Norwich CityNorwich4521101479631673
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City451913136859970
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4417131468551364
10Preston North EndPreston44189175661-563
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524


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