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Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Stoke logo

Southampton
0 - 1
Stoke


Stephens (42'), Brooks (44')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Campbell (36')
Cundle (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Southampton and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions
Last Game: Leicester 5-0 Southampton
Tuesday, April 23 at 8pm in Championship

Stoke City

All competitions
Last Game: Stoke 3-0 Plymouth
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Southampton 3-1 Stoke City

 Stoke will be confident of causing an upset on the back of Southampton's defeat at Leicester. However, the Saints have performed far more consistently on home turf, leading us to predict a fairly-dominant victory for Martin's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Southampton win with a probability of 72.3%. A draw has a probability of 15.9% and a win for Stoke City has a probability of 11.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win is 2-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.24%) and 3-0 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.12%), while for a Stoke City win it is 1-2 (3.45%).

Result
SouthamptonDrawStoke City
72.3% (0.154 0.15) 15.9% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05) 11.81% (-0.096 -0.1)
Both teams to score 57.37% (-0.114 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.06% (0.01100000000001 0.01)30.94% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.68% (0.012999999999998 0.01)52.32% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.53% (0.035000000000011 0.04)7.47% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.16% (0.087000000000003 0.09)26.84% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62% (-0.14400000000001 -0.14)38% (0.147 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.24% (-0.137 -0.14)74.76% (0.14099999999999 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 72.3%
    Stoke City 11.81%
    Draw 15.9%
SouthamptonDrawStoke City
2-0 @ 9.55% (0.028 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.26% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
3-1 @ 7.99% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-0 @ 7.36% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
4-0 @ 5.36% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
4-1 @ 5.19% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.87% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.78% (0.022 0.02)
5-1 @ 2.69% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.51% (-0.004 -0)
5-2 @ 1.3%
6-0 @ 1.2% (0.011 0.01)
6-1 @ 1.16% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 72.3%
1-1 @ 7.12% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.47% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 2.84% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 15.9%
1-2 @ 3.45% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-1 @ 2.75% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.33% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.11% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 11.81%

How you voted: Southampton vs Stoke

Southampton
75.0%
Draw
14.3%
Stoke City
10.7%
28
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 10
Stoke
0-1
Southampton

Hoever (44'), Pearson (45'), Johnson (86'), Leris (87')
Armstrong (41')
Downes (86')
> Preview
Mar 3, 2018 3pm
Southampton
0-0
Stoke
Cameron (41')
> Match Report
Sep 30, 2017 3pm
Stoke
2-1
Southampton
Biram Diouf (40'), Crouch (85')
Allen (30')
Yoshida (76')
Tadic (52'), Romeu (57')
> Match Report
May 21, 2017 3pm
Southampton
0-1
Stoke

Boufal (70'), Stephens (90')
Crouch (60')
Allen (53'), Whelan (63'), Sobhi (67'), Shaqiri (90')
> Match Report
Dec 14, 2016 8pm
Stoke
0-0
Southampton
Allen (34')
Arnautovic (23')
Romeu (27'), Ward-Prowse (93')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
2Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
3Ipswich TownIpswich442612688563290
4Southampton452591185622384
5Norwich CityNorwich4521101479631673
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City451913136859970
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4417131468551364
10Preston North EndPreston44189175661-563
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524
> Championship Full Table


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