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Championship | Gameweek 10
Oct 3, 2023 at 8pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Southampton logo

Stoke
0 - 1
Southampton


Hoever (44'), Pearson (45'), Johnson (86'), Leris (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Armstrong (41')
Downes (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 2-3 Stoke
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 3-1 Leeds
Saturday, September 30 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-1 Southampton

Despite both bouncing back from adversity with wins at the weekend, the two could cancel each other out here in a clash that is tough to call on paper. Southampton have also not enjoyed much success against Stoke recently, winning just one of their last seven meetings, and that run could well be extended here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 33.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawSouthampton
41.53% (-1.672 -1.67) 24.79% (0.085000000000001 0.09) 33.67% (1.587 1.59)
Both teams to score 57.94% (0.258 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.81% (0.094999999999999 0.09)45.19% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.47% (0.090000000000003 0.09)67.53% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.24% (-0.738 -0.74)21.76% (0.739 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.05% (-1.137 -1.14)54.95% (1.139 1.14)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.06% (1.02 1.02)25.94% (-1.019 -1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.06% (1.354 1.35)60.94% (-1.354 -1.35)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 41.53%
    Southampton 33.67%
    Draw 24.79%
Stoke CityDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 8.86% (-0.177 -0.18)
1-0 @ 8.61% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-0 @ 6.56% (-0.328 -0.33)
3-1 @ 4.5% (-0.194 -0.19)
3-0 @ 3.34% (-0.246 -0.25)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.72% (-0.115 -0.12)
4-0 @ 1.27% (-0.125 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 41.53%
1-1 @ 11.61% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.98% (0.054 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.65% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.37% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.79%
1-2 @ 7.84% (0.243 0.24)
0-1 @ 7.62% (0.188 0.19)
0-2 @ 5.14% (0.27 0.27)
1-3 @ 3.53% (0.207 0.21)
2-3 @ 2.69% (0.1 0.1)
0-3 @ 2.31% (0.184 0.18)
1-4 @ 1.19% (0.102 0.1)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 33.67%

How you voted: Stoke vs Southampton

Stoke City
51.4%
Draw
28.6%
Southampton
20.0%
35
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2017 3pm
Stoke
2-1
Southampton
Biram Diouf (40'), Crouch (85')
Allen (30')
Yoshida (76')
Tadic (52'), Romeu (57')
May 21, 2017 3pm
Southampton
0-1
Stoke

Boufal (70'), Stephens (90')
Crouch (60')
Allen (53'), Whelan (63'), Sobhi (67'), Shaqiri (90')
Dec 14, 2016 8pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
2Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
3Ipswich TownIpswich442612688563290
4Southampton452591185622384
5Norwich CityNorwich4521101479631673
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City451913136859970
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4417131468551364
10Preston North EndPreston44189175661-563
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524


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