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Sunderland
Championship | Gameweek 5
Sep 2, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Stadium of Light
Southampton logo

Sunderland
5 - 0
Southampton

Clarke (1'), Ekwah (7', 45'), Dack (48'), Rigg (90+5')
Ba (39'), O'Nien (42')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Mara (35'), Adams (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southampton 2-1 QPR
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Sunderland 1-2 Southampton

With Sunderland seemingly growing in confidence, this could prove to be a more competitive game than the table would have you believe. Nevertheless, we cannot ignore Southampton's ability to score and to score late, leading us to back a narrow victory for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
SunderlandDrawSouthampton
44.27% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 23.79% (0.0019999999999989 0) 31.94% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 60.86% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.9% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)41.1% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.51% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)63.49% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.16% (0.010000000000005 0.01)18.84% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.72% (0.015000000000001 0.02)50.28% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.99% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)25.01% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.32% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)59.68% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 44.27%
    Southampton 31.94%
    Draw 23.79%
SunderlandDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 9.1% (0.0040000000000013 0)
1-0 @ 7.87% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.57% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.65% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.51%
4-1 @ 2.11% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 1.53% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.46%
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 44.27%
1-1 @ 10.9% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.3% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.71% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.62% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.79%
1-2 @ 7.55% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.53%
0-2 @ 4.52% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 3.49% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.21% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 31.94%

How you voted: Sunderland vs Southampton

Sunderland
42.9%
Draw
28.6%
Southampton
28.6%
7
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2017 3pm
Sunderland
0-4
Southampton

Khazri (94')
Gabbiadini (30', 45'), Denayer (89' og.), Long (92')
Oct 26, 2016 7.45pm
Round Four
Southampton
1-0
Sunderland
Boufal (66')
Olomola (61')

Khazri (45'), Jones (64'), Ndong (94')
Mar 5, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Patriots
3-24
Jets
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom541092713
2Sunderland5401124812
3Blackburn RoversBlackburn5320126611
4Burnley5311113810
5Watford531195410
6Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd53208359
7Oxford UnitedOxford Utd53029639
8Derby CountyDerby53028629
9Leeds UnitedLeeds52217438
10Middlesbrough52216428
11Swansea CitySwansea52125327
12Queens Park RangersQPR513178-16
13Stoke CityStoke520336-36
14Coventry CityCoventry512256-15
15Norwich CityNorwich512246-25
16Plymouth ArgylePlymouth512259-45
17Bristol City5122611-55
18Millwall51138804
19Luton TownLuton511337-44
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds5113510-54
21Preston North EndPreston511339-64
22Hull City503226-43
23Portsmouth5032611-53
24Cardiff CityCardiff5014111-101


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