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Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Den
Stoke logo

Millwall
1 - 0
Stoke

Nisbet (38')
Saville (7')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Laurent (18'), Wilmot (33'), Hoever (35'), Pearson (51'), McNally (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 3-1 Millwall
Sunday, August 20 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 1-0 Watford
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-2 Stoke City

At some point, the assumption is that this Millwall squad will eventually start to click and make a playoff push. For now, though, we can only back a Stoke side who have settled well, and their extra firepower could prove key in the closing stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 31.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
MillwallDrawStoke City
31.96% (-0.19 -0.19) 27.13% (0.082000000000001 0.08) 40.9% (0.109 0.11)
Both teams to score 49.77% (-0.311 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.51% (-0.367 -0.37)55.49% (0.366 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.33% (-0.301 -0.3)76.67% (0.3 0.3)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.86% (-0.322 -0.32)32.14% (0.321 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.38% (-0.367 -0.37)68.62% (0.36499999999999 0.36)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.33% (-0.111 -0.11)26.66% (0.11 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.09% (-0.149 -0.15)61.91% (0.148 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 31.96%
    Stoke City 40.9%
    Draw 27.13%
MillwallDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 9.73% (0.052 0.05)
2-1 @ 7.3% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-0 @ 5.52% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.76% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.09% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 31.96%
1-1 @ 12.85% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.57% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.13%
0-1 @ 11.32% (0.12 0.12)
1-2 @ 8.5% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.49% (0.059 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.74% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.3% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.24% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.09% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 40.9%

How you voted: Millwall vs Stoke

Millwall
0.0%
Draw
30.0%
Stoke City
70.0%
10
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Millwall
2-0
Stoke
Cresswell (12', 65')
Cresswell (39')

Flint (44'), Kilkenny (83')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 39
Stoke
2-0
Millwall
Brown (19'), Saville (70' og.)
Tymon (56'), Brown (65'), Thompson (84')

Ballard (85')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 14
Millwall
2-1
Stoke
Bradshaw (51', 61')
Malone (32'), Smith (84')
Sawyers (20')
Souttar (45+1')
Apr 5, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 40
Stoke
1-2
Millwall
Brown (41')
Batth (37')
Wallace (36'), Bennett (71')
Wallace (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
2Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
3Ipswich TownIpswich442612688563290
4Southampton452591185622384
5Norwich CityNorwich4521101479631673
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City451913136859970
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4417131468551364
10Preston North EndPreston44189175661-563
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524


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