MX23RW : Sunday, April 28 07:39:34| >> :300:86500:86500:
Birmingham logo
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Huddersfield logo
Hull logo
Ipswich logo
Leeds logo
Leicester logo
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Plymouth Argyle
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Rotherham logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Southampton logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Stoke logo
Championship | Gameweek 3
Aug 19, 2023 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Watford logo

Stoke
1 - 0
Watford

Vidigal (53')
McNally (29'), Wesley (52'), Thompson (77'), Johnson (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Kone (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ipswich 2-0 Stoke
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 0-0 Plymouth
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-1 Watford

This could emerge as one of the best fixtures of the weekend with both teams having put together squads capable of challenging for promotion. We can only predict a draw between two well-match sides, Stoke potentially being content if they can avoid a second defeat in succession. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 46.55%. A win for Watford had a probability of 26.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stoke City in this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawWatford
46.55% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06) 26.52% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 26.93% (0.064 0.06)
Both teams to score 48.95% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.73% (0.054000000000002 0.05)55.27% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.5% (0.045000000000002 0.05)76.49% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.28% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)23.72% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.15% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)57.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.18% (0.081000000000003 0.08)35.82% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.4% (0.084 0.08)72.6% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 46.54%
    Watford 26.93%
    Draw 26.52%
Stoke CityDrawWatford
1-0 @ 12.22% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.03% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 8.8% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.33% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 4.22% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.22% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.56%
4-0 @ 1.52% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 46.54%
1-1 @ 12.55%
0-0 @ 8.5% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.64% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 26.52%
0-1 @ 8.72% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 6.44% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.48% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.21% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.59% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.53% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 26.93%

How you voted: Stoke vs Watford

Stoke City
52.4%
Draw
19.0%
Watford
28.6%
21
Head to Head
May 8, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 46
Watford
2-0
Stoke
Louza (70'), Davis (74')
Oct 2, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 12
Stoke
0-4
Watford
Sarr (12'), Sema (64'), Davis (78'), Issouf Bayo (84')
Sep 21, 2021 7.45pm
Third Round
Watford
1-3
Stoke
Fletcher (61')
Powell (25'), Clucas (80'), Tymon (85')
Batth (90+1')
Jan 22, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Stoke
1-2
Watford
Fletcher (83')
Collins (81')
Deeney (64' pen.), Sarr (68')
Sierralta (18'), Femenia (34')
Nov 4, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 10
Watford
3-2
Stoke
Cleverley (28'), Pedro (61' pen.), Sarr (90+2')
Chalobah (56'), Capoue (90+4')
Fletcher (2'), Powell (81')
Gunn (61'), Obi Mikel (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
2Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
3Ipswich TownIpswich442612688563290
4Southampton452591185622384
5Norwich CityNorwich4521101479631673
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City451913136859970
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4417131468551364
10Preston North EndPreston44189175661-563
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!