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Championship | Gameweek 27
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
QPR logo

Watford
4 - 0
QPR

Dele-Bashiru (1'), Louza (20'), Martins (38'), Issouf Bayo (43')
Morris (45+1')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Armstrong (67'), Field (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crystal Palace 2-1 Watford
Saturday, July 22 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Oxford Utd 5-0 QPR
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Watford 2-0 Queens Park Rangers

Watford are set for a new era under the tutelage of Ismael, and the home faithful can expect a fast start from their side against a QPR team who were thrashed recently at Oxford United. The R's need a response after their 5-0 loss at the Kassam Stadium last time out, but we are predicting a defeat for Ainsworth's men to start their second-tier campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 49.71%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 24.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 0-1 (7.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.

Result
WatfordDrawQueens Park Rangers
49.71% (-2.38 -2.38) 25.7% (0.302 0.3) 24.59% (2.079 2.08)
Both teams to score 49.35% (1.348 1.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.23% (0.64299999999999 0.64)53.77% (-0.642 -0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.75% (0.538 0.54)75.24% (-0.538 -0.54)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.34% (-0.75 -0.75)21.66% (0.751 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.21% (-1.158 -1.16)54.79% (1.16 1.16)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.99% (2.302 2.3)37.01% (-2.301 -2.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.2% (2.217 2.22)73.8% (-2.216 -2.22)
Score Analysis
    Watford 49.71%
    Queens Park Rangers 24.59%
    Draw 25.69%
WatfordDrawQueens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 12.26% (-0.6 -0.6)
2-0 @ 9.38% (-0.681 -0.68)
2-1 @ 9.32% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
3-0 @ 4.78% (-0.468 -0.47)
3-1 @ 4.76% (-0.148 -0.15)
3-2 @ 2.36% (0.074 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.83% (-0.226 -0.23)
4-1 @ 1.82% (-0.099 -0.1)
4-2 @ 0.9% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 49.71%
1-1 @ 12.18% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 8.02% (-0.203 -0.2)
2-2 @ 4.63% (0.246 0.25)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 25.69%
0-1 @ 7.97% (0.294 0.29)
1-2 @ 6.06% (0.45 0.45)
0-2 @ 3.96% (0.377 0.38)
1-3 @ 2.01% (0.262 0.26)
2-3 @ 1.54% (0.169 0.17)
0-3 @ 1.31% (0.197 0.2)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 24.59%

How you voted: Watford vs QPR

Watford
72.1%
Draw
13.1%
Queens Park Rangers
14.8%
61
Head to Head
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
QPR
1-0
Watford
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Watford
2-3
QPR

Kamara (84'), Kabasele (90')
Adomah (70')
Dieng (81'), Dozzell (85')
Feb 1, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Watford
1-2
QPR
Deeney (52' pen.)
Sierralta (54'), Navarro (90+4')
Austin (73'), Adomah (90')
Wallace (34')
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 12
QPR
1-1
Watford
Chair (77')
Dykes (90+1')
Wilmot (3')
Sema (59'), Cathcart (85')
Jul 27, 2019 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
QPR
0-1
Watford
Capoue (31')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester453141089395097
2Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
3Ipswich TownIpswich442612688563290
4Southampton452591185622384
5Norwich CityNorwich4521101479631673
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City451913136859970
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4417131468551364
10Preston North EndPreston45189185664-863
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524


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