Home > Football > Championship
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 32.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Leicester City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Leicester City.
Result | ||
Leicester City | Draw | Stoke City |
43.18% ( -0.24) | 24.61% ( -0.02) | 32.2% ( 0.26) |
Both teams to score 58.06% ( 0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.19% ( 0.19) | 44.81% ( -0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.83% ( 0.18) | 67.17% ( -0.19) |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.16% ( -0.03) | 20.84% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.48% ( -0.04) | 53.52% ( 0.04) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.34% ( 0.25) | 26.65% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.1% ( 0.34) | 61.89% ( -0.34) |
Score Analysis |
Leicester City | Draw | Stoke City |
2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.71% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 2.72% Total : 43.18% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.61% | 1-2 @ 7.62% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.34% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.36% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.15% Total : 32.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
P | Leicester CityLeicester | 44 | 30 | 4 | 10 | 86 | 39 | 47 | 94 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 45 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 80 | 41 | 39 | 90 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 43 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 85 | 53 | 32 | 89 |
4 | Southampton | 44 | 25 | 9 | 10 | 85 | 61 | 24 | 84 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 44 | 20 | 12 | 12 | 67 | 44 | 23 | 72 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 44 | 21 | 9 | 14 | 77 | 61 | 16 | 72 |
7 | Hull City | 44 | 19 | 12 | 13 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 69 |
8 | Coventry CityCoventry | 43 | 17 | 12 | 14 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 63 |
9 | Middlesbrough | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 64 | 60 | 4 | 63 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 56 | 61 | -5 | 63 |
11 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 44 | 19 | 5 | 20 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 62 |
12 | Bristol City | 44 | 16 | 11 | 17 | 51 | 47 | 4 | 59 |
13 | Sunderland | 44 | 16 | 8 | 20 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 56 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 44 | 15 | 11 | 18 | 57 | 62 | -5 | 56 |
15 | Watford | 44 | 12 | 17 | 15 | 59 | 58 | 1 | 53 |
16 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 53 |
17 | Millwall | 44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 53 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 44 | 13 | 11 | 20 | 44 | 60 | -16 | 50 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 44 | 13 | 10 | 21 | 58 | 74 | -16 | 49 |
20 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 44 | 12 | 12 | 20 | 58 | 69 | -11 | 48 |
21 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 44 | 13 | 8 | 23 | 39 | 68 | -29 | 47 |
22 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 44 | 12 | 10 | 22 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 46 |
23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 44 | 9 | 17 | 18 | 47 | 74 | -27 | 44 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 44 | 4 | 12 | 28 | 32 | 85 | -53 | 24 |
> Championship Full Table |