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Championship | Gameweek 8
Sep 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Elland Road
Watford logo

Leeds
3 - 0
Watford

Piroe (67'), Byram (70'), Anthony (89')
Rutter (40')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Andrews (43'), Bachmann (67'), Issouf Bayo (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 0-0 Leeds
Wednesday, September 20 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 2-2 West Brom
Wednesday, September 20 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 2-1 Watford

Both sides possess plenty of quality and are bound to cause one another problems, and despite the hosts being yet to put a winning streak together, we see it as being only a matter of time for Farke's men and fancy them to kick off with an impressive victory at Elland Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 48.94%. A win for Watford had a probability of 26.05% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawWatford
48.94% (2.563 2.56) 25.01% (0.092000000000002 0.09) 26.05% (-2.657 -2.66)
Both teams to score 52.77% (-2.372 -2.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.06% (-2.149 -2.15)49.93% (2.146 2.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.08% (-1.947 -1.95)71.92% (1.944 1.94)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.57% (0.224 0.22)20.43% (-0.227 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.13% (0.356 0.36)52.87% (-0.359 -0.36)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.32% (-3.179 -3.18)33.68% (3.175 3.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.67% (-3.616 -3.62)70.33% (3.613 3.61)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 48.93%
    Watford 26.05%
    Draw 25.01%
Leeds UnitedDrawWatford
1-0 @ 10.92% (0.985 0.98)
2-1 @ 9.44% (0.139 0.14)
2-0 @ 8.68% (0.841 0.84)
3-1 @ 5% (0.108 0.11)
3-0 @ 4.59% (0.474 0.47)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.184 -0.18)
4-1 @ 1.99% (0.057 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.82% (0.199 0.2)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 48.93%
1-1 @ 11.89% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 6.88% (0.58 0.58)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.386 -0.39)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.163 -0.16)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.01%
0-1 @ 7.49% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.47% (-0.534 -0.53)
0-2 @ 4.07% (-0.367 -0.37)
1-3 @ 2.35% (-0.425 -0.43)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.322 -0.32)
0-3 @ 1.48% (-0.28 -0.28)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 26.05%

How you voted: Leeds vs Watford

Leeds United
72.4%
Draw
20.7%
Watford
6.9%
29
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 32
Watford
0-3
Leeds

Louza (57'), Sissoko (80')
Raphinha (21'), Rodrigo (73'), Harrison (85')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 7
Leeds
1-0
Watford
Llorente (18')

Femenia (59'), Sarr (65'), Dennis (90')
Feb 20, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester453141089395097
2Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
3Ipswich TownIpswich442612688563290
4Southampton452591185622384
5Norwich CityNorwich4521101479631673
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City451913136859970
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4417131468551364
10Preston North EndPreston45189185664-863
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524


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