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Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Sunderland

Stoke
2 - 1
Sunderland

Mmaee (7'), McNally (47')
Johnson (21'), Burger (50'), Pearson (59'), Thompson (73'), Stevens (86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Clarke (10')
Huggins (25'), Hume (34'), Clarke (64'), Aouchiche (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leicester 2-0 Stoke
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 0-4 Middlesbrough
Saturday, October 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-3 Sunderland

There may come a time when everything begins to click for Stoke, with or without Neil in the dugout. However, we do not feel that it will be in this encounter, as the Black Cats have the confidence to run out convincing victors against the Potters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 39.3%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 2-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawSunderland
35.67% (-0.137 -0.14) 25.03% (0.153 0.15) 39.3% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 57.54% (-0.561 -0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.11% (-0.72 -0.72)45.89% (0.717 0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.8% (-0.686 -0.69)68.2% (0.68299999999999 0.68)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.89% (-0.41200000000001 -0.41)25.11% (0.409 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.19% (-0.573 -0.57)59.81% (0.57 0.57)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.84% (-0.328 -0.33)23.16% (0.324 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.96% (-0.48 -0.48)57.04% (0.477 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 35.67%
    Sunderland 39.3%
    Draw 25.02%
Stoke CityDrawSunderland
2-1 @ 8.12% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.04% (0.15 0.15)
2-0 @ 5.55% (0.038 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.74% (-0.055 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-0 @ 2.56% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.29% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 35.67%
1-1 @ 11.75% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.94% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-0 @ 5.82% (0.175 0.18)
3-3 @ 1.33% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.02%
1-2 @ 8.6% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
0-1 @ 8.51% (0.177 0.18)
0-2 @ 6.22% (0.07 0.07)
1-3 @ 4.19% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.03% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.9% (-0.065 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.53% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.11% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 39.3%

How you voted: Stoke vs Sunderland

Stoke City
25.9%
Draw
11.1%
Sunderland
63.0%
27
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Sunderland
1-5
Stoke
Pritchard (62')
Laurent (41'), Campbell (53', 57'), Gayle (68', 76')
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Stoke
0-1
Sunderland

Taylor (45+4'), Delap (48'), Brown (58')
Stewart (45+2')
O'Nien (13'), Matete (18'), Embleton (42'), Wright (49'), Clarke (63'), Pritchard (81')
Jan 14, 2017 3pm
Sunderland
1-3
Stoke
Defoe (40')
Djilobodji (62'), van Aanholt (72'), Januzaj (95')
Arnautovic (15', 22'), Crouch (34')
Adam (56')
Oct 15, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
2Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
3Ipswich TownIpswich442612688563290
4Southampton452591185622384
5Norwich CityNorwich4521101479631673
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City451913136859970
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4417131468551364
10Preston North EndPreston44189175661-563
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524


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