Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Nov 15, 2024 at 4pm UK

Levy Mwanawasa Stadium

Zambia
1 - 0
Ivory Coast

Musonda (43')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Zambia and Ivory Coast, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Zambia

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Chad 0-1 Zambia
Tuesday, October 15 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	4	7
2	Congo DR	3	0	3
3	Zambia	3	-1	2
4	Tanzania	3	-3	2

Ivory Coast

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Sierra Leone 1-0 Ivory Coast
Tuesday, October 15 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	3	6	7
2	Nigeria	3	2	7
3	Ivory Coast	3	-3	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-5	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 44.45%. A win for Zambia had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (8.63%). The likeliest Zambia win was 1-0 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
Zambia	Draw	Ivory Coast
27.99% ( -0.02)	27.56% ( -0.01)	44.45% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 46.73% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.52% (

0.02)

58.48% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.93% (

0.02)

79.07% (

-0.01)

Zambia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.3%

36.7% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.52%

73.48% (

Ivory Coast Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.81% (

0.02)

26.19% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.72% (

0.03)

61.28% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Zambia 28%

Ivory Coast 44.44%

Draw 27.55%

Zambia	Draw	Ivory Coast
1-0 @ 9.63% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.47% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.83% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.16% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.61% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.45% ( 0) Other @ 1.84% Total : 28%	1-1 @ 12.9% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.61% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0) Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.55%	0-1 @ 12.87% 1-2 @ 8.65% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.63% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.86% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.85% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.29% ( 0) Other @ 2.06% Total : 44.44%