World Cup Qualifying - Europe
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-
Samuele Zannoni
67'
-
Giacomo Benvenuti
69'
-
Michele Cevoli
74'
-
Nicola Nanni
88'
-
Michele Cevoli
6'
(OG)
-
Mihai Popescu
44'
-
Razvan Marin
55'
-
Ianis Hagi
75'
-
Dennis Politic
90'
-
Denis Alibec
90'+4'
San Marino vs Romania - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 79.13%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 5.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 0-2 with a probability of 16.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (14.39%) and 0-3 (12.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.71%), while for a San Marino win it was 1-0 (2.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Romania would win this match.
Result
San Marino
5.88%
▲
(+0.24)
Draw
14.98%
▲
(+0.34)
Romania
79.13%
▼
(-0.58)
Both Teams to Score:
33.56%
▲
(+0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5
52.46%
▼
(-0.46)
Under 2.5
47.54%
▲
(+0.46)
Over 3.5
30.25%
▼
(-0.42)
Under 3.5
69.75%
▲
(+0.43)
Over 4.5
14.85%
▼
(-0.30)
Under 4.5
85.15%
▲
(+0.30)
San Marino Goals
Over 0.5
37.26%
▲
(+0.48)
Under 0.5
62.74%
▼
(-0.48)
Over 1.5
8.01%
▲
(+0.23)
Under 1.5
91.99%
▼
(-0.23)
Romania Goals
Over 0.5
90.06%
▼
(-0.26)
Under 0.5
9.94%
▲
(+0.26)
Over 1.5
67.12%
▼
(-0.61)
Under 1.5
32.88%
▲
(+0.61)
Score analysis
San Marino
5.88%
Draw
14.98%
Romania
79.12%
San Marino
1-0
@
2.91%
▲
(+0.11)
2-1 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 5.88%
2-1 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 5.88%
Draw
1-1
@
6.71%
▲
(+0.16)
0-0 @ 6.23% ▲ (+0.12)
2-2 @ 1.81% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 14.98%
0-0 @ 6.23% ▲ (+0.12)
2-2 @ 1.81% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 14.98%
Romania
0-2
@
16.61%
▼
(-0.08)
0-1 @ 14.39% ▲ (+0.12)
0-3 @ 12.79% ▼ (-0.20)
1-2 @ 7.75% ▲ (+0.10)
0-4 @ 7.38% ▼ (-0.21)
1-3 @ 5.96% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 3.44% ▼ (-0.04)
0-5 @ 3.41% ▼ (-0.14)
1-5 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.03)
0-6 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 79.12%
0-1 @ 14.39% ▲ (+0.12)
0-3 @ 12.79% ▼ (-0.20)
1-2 @ 7.75% ▲ (+0.10)
0-4 @ 7.38% ▼ (-0.21)
1-3 @ 5.96% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 3.44% ▼ (-0.04)
0-5 @ 3.41% ▼ (-0.14)
1-5 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.03)
0-6 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 79.12%