World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage

Mar 24, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico di Serravalle

San Marino
1 - 5
Romania

Zannoni (67')
Benvenuti (69'), Cevoli (74'), Nanni (88')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Cevoli (6' og.), Popescu (44'), Marin (55' pen.), Hagi (75' pen.), Alibec (90+4')
Politic (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between San Marino and Romania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Marino

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Cyprus 2-0 San Marino
Friday, March 21 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe

Current League D1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	San Marino	0	0	0
2	Gibraltar	0	0	0
3	Liechtenstein	0	0	0

Romania

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Romania 0-1 Bosnia H'vina
Friday, March 21 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe

Current League C2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Romania	0	0	0
2	Cyprus	0	0	0
3	Lithuania	0	0	0
4	Kosovo	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 79.13%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 5.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 0-2 with a probability of 16.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (14.39%) and 0-3 (12.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.71%), while for a San Marino win it was 1-0 (2.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Romania would win this match.

Result
San Marino	Draw	Romania
5.88% ( 0.24)	14.98% ( 0.34)	79.13% ( -0.57)

Both teams to score 33.56% (

0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.46% (

-0.45)

47.54% (

0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.25% (

-0.42)

69.75% (

0.42)

San Marino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

37.26% (

0.48)

62.74% (

-0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

8.01% (

0.22)

91.99% (

-0.22)

Romania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.06% (

-0.26)

9.94% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.12% (

-0.6)

32.88% (

0.6)

Score Analysis

San Marino 5.88%

Romania 79.12%

Draw 14.98%

San Marino	Draw	Romania
1-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.41% Total : 5.88%	1-1 @ 6.71% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.23% Total : 14.98%	0-2 @ 16.61% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 14.39% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 12.79% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 7.75% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 7.38% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 5.96% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 3.44% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 3.41% ( -0.13) 1-5 @ 1.59% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.02) 0-6 @ 1.31% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.1% Total : 79.12%