MX23RW : Wednesday, April 30 00:34:17| >> :600:1075170:1075170:
Cyprus national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 21, 2025 at 5pm UK
AEK Arena - George Karapatakis
San Marino national football team

Cyprus
2 - 0
San Marino

Pittas (55'), Kakoullis (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Valli Casadei (76'), Tosi (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Cyprus and San Marino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Romania 4-1 Cyprus
Monday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Nations League
All competitions
Last Game: Liechtenstein 1-3 San Marino
Monday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Cyprus 3-1 San Marino

San Marino will be full of confidence entering this match, and we are expecting them to get their name on the scoresheet on Friday evening, but Cyprus should be able to claim an important three points on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cyprus win with a probability of 55.62%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 19.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cyprus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.04%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a San Marino win it was 0-1 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cyprus would win this match.

Result
CyprusDrawSan Marino
55.62% (2.628 2.63) 24.69% (-0.758 -0.76) 19.69% (-1.872 -1.87)
Both teams to score 46.28% (-0.448 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.27% (0.764 0.76)54.73% (-0.767 -0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.95% (0.631 0.63)76.04% (-0.63200000000001 -0.63)
Cyprus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.38% (1.356 1.36)19.61% (-1.36 -1.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.44% (2.17 2.17)51.56% (-2.172 -2.17)
San Marino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.57% (-1.558 -1.56)42.43% (1.555 1.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.2% (-1.365 -1.37)78.8% (1.362 1.36)
Score Analysis
    Cyprus 55.61%
    San Marino 19.69%
    Draw 24.69%
CyprusDrawSan Marino
1-0 @ 13.55% (0.17 0.17)
2-0 @ 11.04% (0.59 0.59)
2-1 @ 9.47% (0.11 0.11)
3-0 @ 6% (0.551 0.55)
3-1 @ 5.14% (0.269 0.27)
4-0 @ 2.44% (0.316 0.32)
3-2 @ 2.2% (0.025 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.09% (0.192 0.19)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 55.61%
1-1 @ 11.62% (-0.35 -0.35)
0-0 @ 8.32% (-0.251 -0.25)
2-2 @ 4.06% (-0.128 -0.13)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 24.69%
0-1 @ 7.13% (-0.535 -0.53)
1-2 @ 4.98% (-0.378 -0.38)
0-2 @ 3.06% (-0.373 -0.37)
1-3 @ 1.42% (-0.175 -0.18)
2-3 @ 1.16% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 19.69%

How you voted: Cyprus vs San Marino

Cyprus
88.8%
Draw
5.0%
San Marino
6.3%
80
Head to Head
Jun 11, 2024 5pm
Friendlies 2
San Marino
1-4
Cyprus
Giocondi (81')
Giocondi (58'), Giocondi (81')
Satsias (45+2'), Kastanos (53', 54'), Kakoullis (83')
Sep 9, 2019 7.45pm
Group Stage
San Marino
0-4
Cyprus

Vitaioli (72')
Kousoulos (2', 73'), Papoulis (39'), Artymatas (75')
Mar 21, 2019 5pm
Group Stage
Cyprus
5-0
San Marino
Sotiriou (19' pen., 23' pen.), Kousoulos (26'), Efrem (31'), Laifis (56')

Simoncini (18'), Giardi (20'), Golinucci (20'), Palazzi (71')
rhs 2.0
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