Mar 22, 2025 5.00pm

3

1

HT : 1 1

FT Stadion Kraj Bistrice

Stevan Jovetic 22'
Marko Jankovic 67'
Marko Tuci 70'
Marko Vukcevic 71'
Adam Marusic 73'
Nikola Sipcic 80'

Dan Bent 13'
Tjay De Barr 56'
Dan Bent 75'

Montenegro vs Gibraltar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Montenegro vs. Gibraltar - prediction, team news, lineups

Preview: Montenegro vs. Gibraltar - prediction, team news, lineups

Football | 20 Mar 2025 18:48

Form, Standings, Stats

Montenegro

All competitions

W
L
L
L
L
L

Gibraltar

All competitions

D
D
D
W
D
W

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montenegro win with a probability of 78.23%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 6.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montenegro win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.66%) and 3-0 (11.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.99%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 0-1 (2.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Montenegro would win this match.

Result

Montenegro 78.23% ▲ (+1.82)

Draw 14.97% ▼ (-1.11)

Gibraltar 6.8% ▼ (-0.71)

Both Teams to Score:

38.51% ▲ (+0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.19% ▲ (+2.31)

Under 2.5 43.81% ▼ (-2.31)

Over 3.5 33.8% ▲ (+2.22)

Under 3.5 66.19% ▼ (-2.22)

Over 4.5 17.38% ▲ (+1.60)

Under 4.5 82.62% ▼ (-1.60)

Montenegro Goals

Over 0.5 90.76% ▲ (+1.04)

Under 0.5 9.23% ▼ (-1.04)

Over 1.5 68.77% ▲ (+2.41)

Under 1.5 31.23% ▼ (-2.41)

Gibraltar Goals

Over 0.5 42.42% ▼ (-0.41)

Under 0.5 57.58% ▲ (+0.40)

Over 1.5 10.64% ▼ (-0.23)

Under 1.5 89.36% ▲ (+0.23)

Score analysis

Montenegro 78.22%

Draw 14.97%

Gibraltar 6.8%

Montenegro

2-0 @ 15.08% ▼ (-0.12)

1-0 @ 12.66% ▼ (-0.70)

3-0 @ 11.98% ▲ (+0.46)

2-1 @ 8.33% ▼ (-0.18)

4-0 @ 7.14% ▲ (+0.57)

3-1 @ 6.61% ▲ (+0.17)

4-1 @ 3.94% ▲ (+0.27)

5-0 @ 3.4% ▲ (+0.42)

5-1 @ 1.88% ▲ (+0.21)

3-2 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.03)

6-0 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.22)

4-2 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.07)

Other @ 2.94%

Total : 78.22%

Draw

1-1 @ 6.99% ▼ (-0.48)

0-0 @ 5.32% ▼ (-0.56)

2-2 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.08)

Other @ 0.37%

Total : 14.97%

Gibraltar

0-1 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.35)

1-2 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.16)

Other @ 1.93%

Total : 6.8%

Head to Head

Oct 8, 2021 7.45pm

0

3

HT : 0 2

FT

Kyle Goldwin 41'

Adam Marusic 7'
Fatos Beciraj 44'
Fatos Beciraj 45'+6'
Zarko Tomasevic 61'
Fatos Beciraj 68'

Mar 27, 2021 2.00pm

4

1

HT : 2 1

FT Stadion Pod Goricom

Fatos Beciraj 25'
Kristijan Vulaj 29'
Marko Simic 43'
Zarko Tomasevic 53'
Stevan Jovetic 80'

Kyle Goldwin 14'
Alain Pons 21'
Reece Styche 27'
Reece Styche 30'

Form Data

Montenegro 3 - 1 Turkey

Montenegro 0 - 2 Iceland

Wales 1 - 0 Montenegro

Turkey 1 - 0 Montenegro

Montenegro 1 - 2 Wales

Iceland 2 - 0 Montenegro

Gibraltar 1 - 1 Moldova

San Marino 1 - 1 Gibraltar

Liechtenstein 0 - 0 Gibraltar

Gibraltar 1 - 0 San Marino

Gibraltar 2 - 2 Liechtenstein

Gibraltar 1 - 0 Andorra