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World Cup
Montenegro national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 22, 2025 at 5pm UK
Stadion Kraj Bistrice
Gibraltar national football team

Montenegro
3 - 1
Gibraltar

Jovetic (22'), Tuci (70'), Marusic (73')
Jankovic (67'), Vukcevic (71'), Sipcic (80')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bent (13')
De Barr (56'), Bent (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Montenegro and Gibraltar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montenegro

All competitions
Last Game: Montenegro 3-1 Turkey
Tuesday, November 19 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Gibraltar

All competitions
Last Game: Gibraltar 1-1 Moldova
Tuesday, November 19 at 5pm in International Friendlies

We said: Montenegro 2-0 Gibraltar

 An upbeat Gibraltar outfit that has shown signs of improvement will be keen to pick up from where they left off at the end of last year under new boss Wiseman, but they will enter Saturday's contest as underdogs. Montenegro will welcome a return to home soil having won five of their last eight internationals on their own turf and considering that they have beaten Gibraltar twice previously by an aggregate score of 7-1, we are backing the hosts to kick-start their qualification campaign with a victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montenegro win with a probability of 78.23%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 6.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montenegro win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.66%) and 3-0 (11.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.99%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 0-1 (2.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Montenegro would win this match.

Result
MontenegroDrawGibraltar
78.23% (1.811 1.81) 14.97% (-1.108 -1.11) 6.8% (-0.7051 -0.71)
Both teams to score 38.51% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.19% (2.304 2.3)43.81% (-2.305 -2.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.8% (2.214 2.21)66.19% (-2.216 -2.22)
Montenegro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.76% (1.032 1.03)9.23% (-1.033 -1.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.77% (2.407 2.41)31.23% (-2.408 -2.41)
Gibraltar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.42% (-0.401 -0.4)57.58% (0.399 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.64% (-0.224 -0.22)89.36% (0.22199999999999 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Montenegro 78.22%
    Gibraltar 6.8%
    Draw 14.97%
MontenegroDrawGibraltar
2-0 @ 15.08% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-0 @ 12.66% (-0.7 -0.7)
3-0 @ 11.98% (0.45 0.45)
2-1 @ 8.33% (-0.173 -0.17)
4-0 @ 7.14% (0.569 0.57)
3-1 @ 6.61% (0.164 0.16)
4-1 @ 3.94% (0.268 0.27)
5-0 @ 3.4% (0.41 0.41)
5-1 @ 1.88% (0.206 0.21)
3-2 @ 1.83% (0.023 0.02)
6-0 @ 1.35% (0.216 0.22)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 78.22%
1-1 @ 6.99% (-0.478 -0.48)
0-0 @ 5.32% (-0.554 -0.55)
2-2 @ 2.3% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 14.97%
0-1 @ 2.94% (-0.347 -0.35)
1-2 @ 1.93% (-0.158 -0.16)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 6.8%

How you voted: Montenegro vs Gibraltar

Montenegro
80.5%
Draw
12.2%
Gibraltar
7.3%
41
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Gibraltar
0-3
Montenegro

Goldwin (41')
Marusic (7'), Beciraj (44' pen., 68')
Beciraj (45+6'), Tomasevic (61')
> Preview
Mar 27, 2021 2pm
Group Stage
Montenegro
4-1
Gibraltar
Beciraj (25'), Simic (43'), Tomasevic (53'), Jovetic (80')
Vulaj (29')
Styche (30' pen.)
Goldwin (14'), Pons (21'), Styche (27')
> Preview
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