World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage

Mar 22, 2025 at 5pm UK

Stadion Kraj Bistrice

Montenegro
3 - 1
Gibraltar

Jovetic (22'), Tuci (70'), Marusic (73')
Jankovic (67'), Vukcevic (71'), Sipcic (80')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Bent (13')
De Barr (56'), Bent (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Montenegro and Gibraltar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montenegro

All competitions

Last Game: Montenegro 3-1 Turkey
Tuesday, November 19 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Wales	0	0	0
2	Montenegro	0	0	0
3	Turkey	0	0	0
4	Iceland	0	0	0

Gibraltar

All competitions

Last Game: Gibraltar 1-1 Moldova
Tuesday, November 19 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current League D1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	San Marino	0	0	0
2	Gibraltar	0	0	0
3	Liechtenstein	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montenegro win with a probability of 78.23%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 6.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montenegro win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.66%) and 3-0 (11.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.99%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 0-1 (2.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Montenegro would win this match.

Result
Montenegro	Draw	Gibraltar
78.23% ( 1.81)	14.97% ( -1.11)	6.8% ( -0.71)

Both teams to score 38.51% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.19% (

2.3)

43.81% (

-2.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.8% (

2.21)

66.19% (

-2.22)

Montenegro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.76% (

1.03)

9.23% (

-1.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.77% (

2.41)

31.23% (

-2.41)

Gibraltar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

42.42% (

-0.4)

57.58% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.64% (

-0.22)

89.36% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

Montenegro 78.22%

Gibraltar 6.8%

Draw 14.97%

Montenegro	Draw	Gibraltar
2-0 @ 15.08% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 12.66% ( -0.7) 3-0 @ 11.98% ( 0.45) 2-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.57) 3-1 @ 6.61% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 3.94% ( 0.27) 5-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.41) 5-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.22) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.94% Total : 78.22%	1-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.48) 0-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.55) 2-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.37% Total : 14.97%	0-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.35) 1-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.16) Other @ 1.93% Total : 6.8%