World Cup
Jun 29, 2026 9.30pm
1
1
ET Boston Stadium
  • Kai Havertz 54' goal
  • Julian Nagelsmann 105' yellowcard
  • 105' yellowcard
  • Julian Nagelsmann 105'+1' yellowcard
  • Kai Havertz 106' yellowcard
  • 106' yellowcard
  • Kai Havertz 107' yellowcard
  • Jamal Musiala 115' yellowcard
  • 115' yellowcard
  • goal Julio Enciso 42'
  • yellowcard Andrés Cubas 65'
  • yellowcard Miguel Almirón 105'
  • yellowcard Julian Nagelsmann 105'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Alfaro 105'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Caballero 105'
  • yellowcard Matías Galarza Fonda 117'

Germany vs Paraguay - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Germany

All competitions

Paraguay

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 65.65%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 13.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.24%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%) , while for a Paraguay win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result

Germany 65.65% (+0.21)
Draw 21.2% (-0.11)
Paraguay 13.1% (-0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.1% (-0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.67% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 27.33% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 47.75% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 52.25% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 26.35%
Under 3.5 73.65%
Over 4.5 16.58% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 83.42% (-0.02)

Germany Goals

Over 1.5 55.85% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 44.15% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 29.58% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 70.42% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 12.89% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 87.11% (-0.05)

Paraguay Goals

Over 0.5 43.53% (-0.22)
Under 0.5 56.47% (+0.22)
Over 1.5 13.39% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 86.61% (+0.16)
Over 2.5 2.96% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 97.04% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 0.54% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 99.46% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Germany 65.65%
Draw 21.2%
Paraguay 13.11%
Germany
1-0 @ 14.19% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 13.24% (+0.07)
2-1 @ 9.14% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 8.43% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 5.8% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2%
Other @ 12.85% (+0.05)
Total : 65.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.82% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 7.72% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 3.16% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.04% (-0.02)
Total : 21.2%
Paraguay
0-1 @ 5.38% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 3.4% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 1.87% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 13.11%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Aug 14, 2013 7.45pm
3
3
HT : 2 3
FT
  • Ilkay Gundogan 18' goal
  • Thomas Muller 32' goal
  • Lars Bender 75' goal
  • Lars Bender 81' yellowcard
  • goal Luis Nunez 9'
  • goal Wilson Pittoni 14'
  • goal Miguel Samudio 45'
  • yellowcard Oscar Romero 76'

Build-up

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