World Cup Qualifying - Asia Gameweek 9
Jun 5, 2025 12.10pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT

Australia vs Japan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Australia

All competitions

Japan

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Australia win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Japan has a probability of 36.86% and a draw has a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Australia win is 1-0 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Japan win is 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.97%).

Result

Australia 37.78% (+1.67)
Draw 25.36% (-0.16)
Japan 36.86% (-1.51)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.46% (+0.60)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.67% (+0.75)
Under 2.5 47.33% (-0.75)
Over 3.5 30.45% (+0.69)
Under 3.5 69.55% (-0.69)
Over 4.5 14.99% (+0.48)
Under 4.5 85.02% (-0.48)

Australia Goals

Over 0.5 75.39% (+1.27)
Under 0.5 24.61% (-1.27)
Over 1.5 40.89% (+1.75)
Under 1.5 59.11% (-1.75)

Japan Goals

Over 0.5 74.89% (-0.48)
Under 0.5 25.11% (+0.49)
Over 1.5 40.19% (-0.67)
Under 1.5 59.81% (+0.67)

Score analysis

Australia 37.78%
Draw 25.36%
Japan 36.86%
Australia
1-0 @ 8.66% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 8.39% (+0.24)
2-0 @ 6.07% (+0.26)
3-1 @ 3.92% (+0.25)
3-0 @ 2.84% (+0.22)
3-2 @ 2.71% (+0.14)
4-1 @ 1.38% (+0.14)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 37.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.97% (-0.10)
0-0 @ 6.18% (-0.20)
2-2 @ 5.8% (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.25% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.36%
Japan
0-1 @ 8.54% (-0.40)
1-2 @ 8.27% (-0.19)
0-2 @ 5.9% (-0.36)
1-3 @ 3.81% (-0.15)
0-3 @ 2.72% (-0.21)
2-3 @ 2.67% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.07)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 36.86%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Oct 15, 2024 11.35am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Saitama Stadium 2002
  • Cameron Burgess 76' goal
  • goal Shogo Taniguchi 58' (OG)
  • yellowcard Jordan Bos 61'
  • yellowcard Patrick Yazbek 80'
  • yellowcard Craig Goodwin 89'
  • yellowcard Cameron Burgess 94'
World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Mar 24, 2022 9.10am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Connor Metcalfe 15' yellowcard
  • Gianni Stensness 55' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yuto Nagatomo 10'
  • goal Kaoru Mitoma 89'
  • goal Kaoru Mitoma 90'+4'
World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Oct 12, 2021 11.14am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ao Tanaka 8' goal
  • Hidemasa Morita 68' yellowcard
  • Aziz Behich 85' goal
  • yellowcard Aziz Behich 63'
  • goal Ajdin Hrustic 70'
  • yellowcard Harry Souttar 90'+3'