World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Gameweek 9

Jun 5, 2025 at 12.10pm UK

Australia
1 - 0
Japan

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Australia and Japan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Australia

All competitions

Last Game: China 0-2 Australia
Tuesday, March 25 at 11am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	0	0	0
2	Australia	0	0	0
3	Saudi Arabia	0	0	0
4	China	0	0	0
5	Bahrain	0	0	0
6	Indonesia	0	0	0

Japan

All competitions

Last Game: Japan 0-0 Saudi Arabia
Tuesday, March 25 at 10.35am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Third Round Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	0	0	0
2	Australia	0	0	0
3	Saudi Arabia	0	0	0
4	China	0	0	0
5	Bahrain	0	0	0
6	Indonesia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Australia win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Japan has a probability of 36.86% and a draw has a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Australia win is 1-0 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Japan win is 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.97%).

Result
Australia	Draw	Japan
37.78% ( 1.66)	25.36% ( -0.16)	36.86% ( -1.51)

Both teams to score 56.46% (

0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.67% (

0.74)

47.33% (

-0.74)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.45% (

0.69)

69.55% (

-0.69)

Australia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.39% (

1.27)

24.61% (

-1.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.89% (

1.75)

59.11% (

-1.74)

Japan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.89% (

-0.48)

25.11% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.19% (

-0.67)

59.81% (

0.67)

Score Analysis

Australia 37.78%

Japan 36.86%

Draw 25.36%

Australia	Draw	Japan
1-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 3.92% ( 0.25) 3-0 @ 2.84% ( 0.22) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 1% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.85% Total : 37.78%	1-1 @ 11.97% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.36%	0-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.39) 1-2 @ 8.27% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.36) 1-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.09) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.77% Total : 36.86%