US Open Cup
Apr 2, 2026 12.00am

Lexington vs Louisville City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lexington

All competitions

Louisville City

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lexington win with a probability of 44.39%. A win for Louisville City has a probability of 30.43% and a draw has a probability of 25.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lexington win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Louisville City win is 0-1 (7.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.89%).

Result

Lexington 44.39% (-0.04)
Draw 25.18%
Louisville City 30.43% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.57% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.62% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 24.38% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 51.96% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 48.04% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 29.48% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 70.52% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 17.03% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 82.97% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Lexington 31.39%
Draw 42.42%
Louisville City 26.19%

Team To Score First

Lexington 49.8%
No Goal 6.86% (-0.01)
Louisville City 43.34% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 57.07% (+0.23)
Equal 8 11.35% (-0.02)
Under 8 31.58% (-0.22)
Over 9 45.58% (+0.23)
Equal 9 11.5%
Under 9 42.93% (-0.23)
Over 10.5 34.87% (+0.22)
Under 10.5 65.13% (-0.22)

Lexington Goals

Over 1.5 43% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 57% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 19.36% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 80.64% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 6.99% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 93.01% (+0.04)

Louisville City Goals

Over 0.5 65.39% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 34.61% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 32.16% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 67.84% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 12.08% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 87.92% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 4.12% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.88% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Lexington 44.39%
Draw 25.19%
Louisville City 30.43%
Lexington
1-0 @ 9.83% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 9.26% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 7.11%
3-1 @ 4.38%
3-0 @ 3.95% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.99% (+0.02)
Other @ 6.87% (-0.02)
Total : 44.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.89% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 6.86% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.27%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.12% (-0.02)
Total : 25.19%
Louisville City
0-1 @ 7.7% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 7.16% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.66% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.8%
0-3 @ 2.11% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2%
Other @ 4%
Total : 30.43%