US Open Cup
Apr 2, 2026 12.00am
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Xavier Zengue 61' yellowcard
  • Michael Adedokun 61' yellowcard
  • Michael Adedokun 62' yellowcard
  • Xavier Zengue 62' yellowcard
  • Malik Henry-Scott 81' yellowcard
  • J. Brown 84' yellowcard
  • goal Babacar Niang 23'
  • goal Tola Showunmi 51'
  • yellowcard Amadou Dia 61'
  • yellowcard Ray Serrano 61'
  • yellowcard Manny Perez 61'
  • yellowcard Zachary Duncan 78'
  • yellowcard Evan Davila 81'

Lexington vs Louisville City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lexington

All competitions

Louisville City

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lexington win with a probability of 44.39%. A win for Louisville City had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lexington win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Louisville City win was 0-1 (7.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result

Lexington 44.39% (-0.04)
Draw 25.18%
Louisville City 30.43% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.57% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.62% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 24.38% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 51.96% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 48.04% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 29.48% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 70.52% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 17.03% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 82.97% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Lexington 31.39%
Draw 42.42%
Louisville City 26.19%

Team To Score First

Lexington 49.8%
No Goal 6.86% (-0.01)
Louisville City 43.34% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 57.07% (+0.23)
Equal 8 11.35% (-0.02)
Under 8 31.58% (-0.22)
Over 9 45.58% (+0.23)
Equal 9 11.5%
Under 9 42.93% (-0.23)
Over 10.5 34.87% (+0.22)
Under 10.5 65.13% (-0.22)

Lexington Goals

Over 1.5 43% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 57% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 19.36% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 80.64% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 6.99% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 93.01% (+0.04)

Louisville City Goals

Over 0.5 65.39% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 34.61% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 32.16% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 67.84% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 12.08% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 87.92% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 4.12% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.88% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Lexington 44.39%
Draw 25.19%
Louisville City 30.43%
Lexington
1-0 @ 9.83% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 9.26% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 7.11%
3-1 @ 4.38%
3-0 @ 3.95% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.99% (+0.02)
Other @ 6.87% (-0.02)
Total : 44.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.89% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 6.86% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.27%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.12% (-0.02)
Total : 25.19%
Louisville City
0-1 @ 7.7% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 7.16% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.66% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.8%
0-3 @ 2.11% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2%
Other @ 4%
Total : 30.43%