Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lexington win with a probability of 44.39%. A win for Louisville City has a probability of 30.43% and a draw has a probability of 25.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lexington win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Louisville City win is 0-1 (7.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.89%).