Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lexington win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Fort Wayne had a probability of 28.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lexington win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Fort Wayne win was 0-1 (8.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.