Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lexington win with a probability of 58.36%. A win for Flower City Union had a probability of 21.68% and a draw had a probability of 20.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lexington win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.56%) and 1-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Flower City Union win was 0-1 (4.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.84%).