US Open Cup
Mar 19, 2026 11.00pm

Lexington vs Flower City Union - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lexington

All competitions

Flower City Union

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lexington win with a probability of 58.36%. A win for Flower City Union has a probability of 21.68% and a draw has a probability of 20.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lexington win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.56%) and 1-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Flower City Union win is 0-1 (4.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.84%).

Result

Lexington 58.36% (-2.93)
Draw 20.01% (+1.08)
Flower City Union 21.68% (+1.91)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.42% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.76% (-1.04)
Under 1.5 18.24% (+1.04)
Over 2.5 60.96% (-1.97)
Under 2.5 38.99% (+1.93)
Over 3.5 41.08% (-2.56)
Under 3.5 58.92% (+2.56)
Over 4.5 27.88% (-2.82)
Under 4.5 72.12% (+2.83)

First Half Winner

Lexington 32.1% (-2.11)
Draw 38.51% (+0.06)
Flower City Union 29.38% (+2.03)

Team To Score First

Lexington 50.63% (-2.49)
No Goal 4.98% (+0.33)
Flower City Union 44.39% (+2.18)

Corners

Over 8 40.82% (-1.21)
Equal 8 10.94% (-0.17)
Under 8 48.24% (+1.38)
Over 9 31.02% (-0.97)
Equal 9 9.79% (-0.25)
Under 9 59.18% (+1.21)
Over 10.5 22.9% (-0.70)
Under 10.5 77.1% (+0.69)

Lexington Goals

Over 1.5 58.02% (-3.27)
Under 1.5 41.98% (+3.27)
Over 2.5 33.9% (-3.92)
Under 2.5 66.1% (+3.91)
Over 3.5 16.8% (-3.72)
Under 3.5 83.2% (+3.72)

Flower City Union Goals

Over 0.5 55.41% (+3.44)
Under 0.5 44.59% (-3.44)
Over 1.5 26.84% (+2.04)
Under 1.5 73.16% (-2.04)
Over 2.5 10.46% (+0.70)
Under 2.5 89.54% (-0.69)
Over 3.5 4.28% (+0.70)
Under 3.5 95.72% (-0.69)

Score analysis

Lexington 58.36%
Draw 20%
Flower City Union 21.67%
Lexington
2-1 @ 8.69% (+0.61)
2-0 @ 8.56% (-0.12)
1-0 @ 8.55% (+0.46)
3-1 @ 6.3% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 5.88% (-0.41)
3-2 @ 3.73% (+0.23)
Other @ 16.65% (-3.66)
Total : 58.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.84% (+0.54)
0-0 @ 4.98% (+0.33)
2-2 @ 4.84% (+0.25)
3-3 @ 1.19% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.15% (-0.06)
Total : 20%
Flower City Union
0-1 @ 4.74% (+0.30)
1-2 @ 4.41% (+0.36)
0-2 @ 3.4% (+0.52)
1-3 @ 2.06% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.10)
Other @ 4.13% (+0.74)
Total : 21.67%