US Open Cup
Mar 19, 2026 11.00pm
9
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Nick Firmino 30' goal
  • Aaron Molloy 36' goal
  • Marcus Epps 40' goal
  • Michael Adedokun 46' yellowcard
  • Nick Firmino 48' goal
  • Xavier Zengue 53' goal
  • Jacob Greene 58' yellowcard
  • Tarik Scott 58' yellowcard
  • Phillip Goodrum 61' goal
  • Blaine Ferri 68' goal
  • Malik Henry-Scott 72' yellowcard
  • Malik Henry-Scott 76' goal
  • T. Scott 83' yellowcard
  • Tarik Scott 83' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Stout 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gavin Rice 46'
  • yellowcard Michael Cunningham 55'
  • yellowcard Gaven Egan 56'
  • yellowcard Nickolas Rippe 56'
  • yellowcard Adam Grover 69'

Lexington vs Flower City Union - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lexington

All competitions

Flower City Union

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lexington win with a probability of 58.36%. A win for Flower City Union had a probability of 21.68% and a draw had a probability of 20.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lexington win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.56%) and 1-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Flower City Union win was 0-1 (4.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.84%).

Result

Lexington 58.36% (-2.93)
Draw 20.01% (+1.08)
Flower City Union 21.68% (+1.91)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.42% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.76% (-1.04)
Under 1.5 18.24% (+1.04)
Over 2.5 60.96% (-1.97)
Under 2.5 38.99% (+1.93)
Over 3.5 41.08% (-2.56)
Under 3.5 58.92% (+2.56)
Over 4.5 27.88% (-2.82)
Under 4.5 72.12% (+2.83)

First Half Winner

Lexington 32.1% (-2.11)
Draw 38.51% (+0.06)
Flower City Union 29.38% (+2.03)

Team To Score First

Lexington 50.63% (-2.49)
No Goal 4.98% (+0.33)
Flower City Union 44.39% (+2.18)

Corners

Over 8 40.82% (-1.21)
Equal 8 10.94% (-0.17)
Under 8 48.24% (+1.38)
Over 9 31.02% (-0.97)
Equal 9 9.79% (-0.25)
Under 9 59.18% (+1.21)
Over 10.5 22.9% (-0.70)
Under 10.5 77.1% (+0.69)

Lexington Goals

Over 1.5 58.02% (-3.27)
Under 1.5 41.98% (+3.27)
Over 2.5 33.9% (-3.92)
Under 2.5 66.1% (+3.91)
Over 3.5 16.8% (-3.72)
Under 3.5 83.2% (+3.72)

Flower City Union Goals

Over 0.5 55.41% (+3.44)
Under 0.5 44.59% (-3.44)
Over 1.5 26.84% (+2.04)
Under 1.5 73.16% (-2.04)
Over 2.5 10.46% (+0.70)
Under 2.5 89.54% (-0.69)
Over 3.5 4.28% (+0.70)
Under 3.5 95.72% (-0.69)

Score analysis

Lexington 58.36%
Draw 20%
Flower City Union 21.67%
Lexington
2-1 @ 8.69% (+0.61)
2-0 @ 8.56% (-0.12)
1-0 @ 8.55% (+0.46)
3-1 @ 6.3% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 5.88% (-0.41)
3-2 @ 3.73% (+0.23)
Other @ 16.65% (-3.66)
Total : 58.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.84% (+0.54)
0-0 @ 4.98% (+0.33)
2-2 @ 4.84% (+0.25)
3-3 @ 1.19% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.15% (-0.06)
Total : 20%
Flower City Union
0-1 @ 4.74% (+0.30)
1-2 @ 4.41% (+0.36)
0-2 @ 3.4% (+0.52)
1-3 @ 2.06% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.10)
Other @ 4.13% (+0.74)
Total : 21.67%