Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 6
Sep 13, 2026 2.00pm
Parque Abraham Paladino

Progreso vs Cerro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Progreso

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Sep 7, 2026 7.00pm
Albion 0 - 1 Progreso
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Nahuel López

Cerro

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Sep 6, 2026 2.00pm
Cerro 1 - 0 Racing
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Alejo Macelli 

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Progreso win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Cerro has a probability of 31.7% and a draw has a probability of 30.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Cerro win is 0-1 (11.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.66%).

Result

Progreso 38.24%
Draw 30.06%
Cerro 31.7%

Both Teams to Score: 

44.83%

Goals

Over 1.5 63.23%
Under 1.5 36.77%
Over 2.5 36.45%
Under 2.5 63.55%
Over 3.5 17.66%
Under 3.5 82.34%
Over 4.5 8.7%
Under 4.5 91.3%

First Half Winner

Progreso 27.94%
Draw 49.27%
Cerro 22.79%

Team To Score First

Progreso 50.41%
No Goal 12%
Cerro 37.59%

Corners

Over 8 48.3%
Equal 8 12.57%
Under 8 39.13%
Over 9 36.42%
Equal 9 11.88%
Under 9 51.7%
Over 10.5 26.14%
Under 10.5 73.86%

Progreso Goals

Over 1.5 30.72%
Under 1.5 69.28%
Over 2.5 10.04%
Under 2.5 89.96%
Over 3.5 2.73%
Under 3.5 97.27%

Cerro Goals

Over 0.5 62.03%
Under 0.5 37.97%
Over 1.5 26.56%
Under 1.5 73.44%
Over 2.5 8.44%
Under 2.5 91.56%
Over 3.5 2.23%
Under 3.5 97.77%

Score analysis

Progreso 38.24%
Draw 30.07%
Cerro 31.69%
Progreso
1-0 @ 13.48%
2-1 @ 7.86%
2-0 @ 7.32%
3-1 @ 2.66%
3-0 @ 2.45%
3-2 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 38.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.66%
0-0 @ 12%
2-2 @ 3.95%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 30.07%
Cerro
0-1 @ 11.29%
1-2 @ 6.63%
0-2 @ 5.79%
1-3 @ 2.36%
0-3 @ 1.85%
2-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 31.69%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
Mar 14, 2026 1.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli
  • Alejandro Severo 62' yellowcard
  • Axel Méndez 62' yellowcard
  • Augusto Cambón 62' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Soria 74' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Soria 75' yellowcard
  • Augusto Cambón 75' yellowcard
  • Emanuel Carlos 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Agustin Paz 46'
  • yellowcard Diego Sánchez 75'
  • yellowcard 75'
  • yellowcard Ignacio Lemmo 83'
  • yellowcard Fabricio Fernández 83'
  • goal Fabricio Fernández 84'
  • yellowcard F. García 90'+1'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Oct 5, 2025 2.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 10
Apr 6, 2025 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Monumental Luis Troccoli
  • Mauro Villar 30' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Camacho 79' yellowcard
  • Anthony Nahuel Aires Almeida 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Agustin Pinheiro Goggia 42'
  • yellowcard Adrian Colombino 70'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 3
Sep 14, 2024 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Parque Federico Omar Saroldi
  • Nicolas Fernandez 45' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Castillo 60' yellowcard
  • goal Elbio Maximiliano Perez Azambuya 42'
  • yellowcard Martin Rabunal 73'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Alvarez 83'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 3
Mar 1, 2024 8.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Monumental Luis Troccoli
  • Ignacio Pereira 5' goal
  • Joshuan Berrios 19' goal
  • Emiliano Alvarez 21' redcard
  • Emiliano Denis 28' yellowcard
  • Martin Rabunal 55' yellowcard
  • Pablo Lacoste 56' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Martin Marta 13'
  • goal Franco Lopez 29'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Cardozo 39'
  • yellowcard Adrian Colombino 42'
  • goal Alex Silva 56'
  • yellowcard Joel Poiso 59'
  • yellowcard Ignacio Lemmo 64'
  • goal Alex Silva 79'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Viera 90'+8'
  • yellowcard Esteban Gonzalez 90'+9'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 5
Feb 7, 2021 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Mario Garcia 30' goal
  • Christian Nunez 33' yellowcard
  • Maicol Cabrera 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Felipe Klein 64' yellowcard
  • Martin Gonzalez 73' goal
  • yellowcard Federico Platero 10'
  • yellowcard Esteban Gonzalez 55'