Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 5
Sep 7, 2026 7.00pm
Estadio Luis Franzini

Albion vs Progreso - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Albion

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Aug 31, 2026 7.30pm
Racing 1 - 0 Albion
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Alvaro Lopez

Progreso

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Progreso 1 - 0 Danubio
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Nahuel López

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Albion win with a probability of 46.46%. A draw has a probability of 27.27% and a win for Progreso has a probability of 26.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Albion win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.68%) , while for a Progreso win it is 0-1 (8.26%).

Result

Albion 46.46% (+0.11)
Draw 27.27% (-0.34)
Progreso 26.27% (+0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.88% (+2.29)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.43% (+1.40)
Under 1.5 29.57% (-1.40)
Over 2.5 44.94% (+1.19)
Under 2.5 55.06% (-1.19)
Over 3.5 23.93% (+0.72)
Under 3.5 76.07% (-0.72)
Over 4.5 12.85% (+0.55)
Under 4.5 87.15% (-0.55)

First Half Winner

Albion 34.92% (+1.79)
Draw 45.22% (-1.68)
Progreso 19.86% (-0.11)

Team To Score First

Albion 54.79% (+2.82)
No Goal 8.9% (-0.70)
Progreso 36.31% (-2.12)

Corners

Over 8 59.78% (+3.82)
Equal 8 11.17% (-0.37)
Under 8 29.05% (-3.45)
Over 9 48.22% (+3.82)
Equal 9 11.56% (-0.01)
Under 9 40.22% (-3.82)
Over 10.5 37.24% (+3.52)
Under 10.5 62.76% (-3.51)

Albion Goals

Over 1.5 41.62% (+0.49)
Under 1.5 58.38% (-0.49)
Over 2.5 16.78% (+0.41)
Under 2.5 83.22% (-0.41)
Over 3.5 5.77% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 94.23% (-0.15)

Progreso Goals

Over 0.5 60.41% (+0.90)
Under 0.5 39.59% (-0.90)
Over 1.5 25.95% (+0.77)
Under 1.5 74.05% (-0.77)
Over 2.5 8.66% (+0.48)
Under 2.5 91.34% (-0.47)
Over 3.5 2.26% (+0.21)
Under 3.5 97.74% (-0.22)

Score analysis

Albion 46.46%
Draw 27.26%
Progreso 26.29%
Albion
1-0 @ 12.42% (-0.31)
2-1 @ 9.42% (+0.14)
2-0 @ 8.76% (-0.15)
3-1 @ 4.1% (+0.09)
3-0 @ 3.87% (+0.07)
3-2 @ 2.24% (+0.09)
Other @ 5.65% (+0.20)
Total : 46.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.68% (+0.30)
0-0 @ 8.9% (-0.70)
2-2 @ 4.76% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.12% (-0.05)
Total : 27.26%
Progreso
0-1 @ 8.26% (-0.39)
1-2 @ 6.25% (+0.13)
0-2 @ 4.04% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.23% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.9% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.47% (+0.16)
Other @ 2.14% (+0.26)
Total : 26.29%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 4
Jun 7, 2026 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Parque Abraham Paladino
  • Jonathan Dos Santos 56' goal
  • Hernán Carroso 78' yellowcard
  • Adrián Colombino  90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tomás Moschión 3'
  • goal Tobías Figueroa 23'
  • redcard Tomás Moschión 40'
  • goal Carlos Airala 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Matías De los Santos 64'
  • yellowcard Tobías Figueroa 87'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 5
Mar 7, 2026 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Parque Abraham Paladino
  • Nicolás Fernández 9' goal
  • Marcos Paolini 25' yellowcard
  • Diego Sánchez 46' yellowcard
  • Mauro Martín 55' yellowcard
  • Ignacio Lemmo 71' yellowcard
  • Augustin Paz 71' yellowcard
  • Agustin Paz 71' yellowcard
  • Mauro Martín 78' goal
  • yellowcard Federico Puente 46'
  • goal Francisco Ginella 55'
  • yellowcard Álvaro López 66'
  • yellowcard Nahuel Roldán 66'
  • goal Álvaro López 71'
  • yellowcard Agustín Vera 71'
  • yellowcard Francisco Couture 85'