Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 4
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Abraham Paladino
  • Agustín Ocampo 26' yellowcard
  • Maximiliano Juambeltz 45' yellowcard
  • Nahuel López 89' goal
  • Nahuel López 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Maicol Ferreira 28'
  • yellowcard Enrique Femia 30'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Velázquez 72'
  • yellowcard Juan Millán 74'

Progreso vs Danubio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Progreso

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Aug 23, 2026 10.30pm
Nacional 1 - 0 Progreso
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Nahuel López

Danubio

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Aug 23, 2026 3.00pm
Danubio 0 - 0 Racing
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Maicol Ferreira

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Danubio win with a probability of 41.49%. A draw has a probability of 29.76% and a win for Progreso has a probability of 28.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (8.11%) and 1-2 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.8%) , while for a Progreso win it is 1-0 (10.31%).

Result

Progreso 28.75% (-1.58)
Draw 29.76% (+0.14)
Danubio 41.49% (+1.45)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.49% (-0.26)

Goals

Over 1.5 64.01% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 35.99% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 37.84% (-0.22)
Under 2.5 62.16% (+0.22)
Over 3.5 18.56% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 81.44% (-0.16)
Over 4.5 9.28% (+0.17)
Under 4.5 90.72% (-0.16)

First Half Winner

Progreso 21.79% (-0.15)
Draw 48.08% (-0.58)
Danubio 30.13% (+0.72)

Team To Score First

Progreso 40.12% (+1.08)
No Goal 11.99% (-0.04)
Danubio 47.89% (-1.04)

Corners

Over 8 46.23% (+1.22)
Equal 8 12.41% (+0.16)
Under 8 41.36% (-1.39)
Over 9 34.68% (+0.97)
Equal 9 11.55% (+0.25)
Under 9 53.77% (-1.22)
Over 10.5 24.81% (+0.67)
Under 10.5 75.19% (-0.68)

Progreso Goals

Over 1.5 25.23% (-0.88)
Under 1.5 74.77% (+0.87)
Over 2.5 7.45% (-0.51)
Under 2.5 92.55% (+0.51)
Over 3.5 1.88% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 98.12% (+0.08)

Danubio Goals

Over 0.5 69.17% (+0.91)
Under 0.5 30.83% (-0.91)
Over 1.5 34.1% (+1.08)
Under 1.5 65.9% (-1.07)
Over 2.5 12.56% (+0.72)
Under 2.5 87.44% (-0.72)
Over 3.5 3.75% (+0.30)
Under 3.5 96.25% (-0.30)

Score analysis

Progreso 28.75%
Draw 29.75%
Danubio 41.51%
Progreso
1-0 @ 10.31% (-0.42)
2-1 @ 6.54% (-0.41)
2-0 @ 5.26% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 2.03% (-0.20)
3-0 @ 1.56% (-0.20)
3-2 @ 1.33% (-0.11)
Other @ 1.72% (-0.16)
Total : 28.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.8% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 11.99% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.15% (+0.08)
Other @ 0.16% (+0.08)
Total : 29.75%
Danubio
0-1 @ 13.7% (+0.47)
0-2 @ 8.11% (+0.36)
1-2 @ 7.95% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 3.22% (+0.18)
1-3 @ 3.11% (+0.12)
2-3 @ 1.83% (+0.07)
Other @ 3.59% (+0.22)
Total : 41.51%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 3
May 30, 2026 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo
  • Joaquín Pereyra 27' goal
  • Nicolas Azambuja 46' yellowcard
  • Damián García 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Facundo Kidd 41'
  • yellowcard Gianfranco Trasante 58'
  • goal Diego Gaston Silva Ibanez 81'
  • goal Gary Silva 90'+5'
  • goal Matteo Copelotti 90'+5'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 4
Feb 28, 2026 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo
  • Enzo Cabrera 15' goal
  • Ivo Costantino 68' yellowcard
  • Sebastián Fernández 70' yellowcard
  • Sebastián Fernández 75' goal
  • Enrique Femia 80' yellowcard
  • Damina Garcia 80' yellowcard
  • Mateo Rinaldi 80' yellowcard
  • goal Santiago Viera 36'
  • yellowcard Matteo Copelotti 68'
  • yellowcard Gianfranco Trasante 68'
  • yellowcard Fabricio Fernández 68'
  • yellowcard Adrián Colombino 74'
  • goal Ivo Costantino 90'+4' (OG)
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 2
May 31, 2025 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Abraham Paladino
  • Adrian Colombino 34' yellowcard
  • Agustin Pinheiro Goggia 78' yellowcard
  • Gianfranco Trasante 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mateo Arguello 31'
  • goal Lucas Sanseviero 74'
  • yellowcard Mateo Peralta 82'
  • yellowcard Renzo Rabino 90'+1'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 4
Feb 23, 2025 12.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jardines del Hipodromo
  • Mario Risso 17' yellowcard
  • Emiliano Velazquez 90'+4' goal
  • Emiliano Velazquez 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolas Fernandez 20'
  • yellowcard Facundo Silvera 41'
  • goal Maximiliano Viera 53'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Jorge Alberto Silva 54'
  • yellowcard Agustin Nahuel Moreira Morales 78'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 7
Oct 12, 2024 4.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Federico Omar Saroldi
  • Adrian Colombino 18' yellowcard
  • Danilo Asconeguy 54' yellowcard
  • Agustin Nahuel Moreira Morales 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Gaston Colman 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matias Fracchia 6'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Ancheta 76'
  • yellowcard Guillermo Fratta 89'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 7
Apr 6, 2024 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jardines del Hipodromo
  • Ramiro Brazionis 12' goal
  • Santiago Romero 62' yellowcard
  • Diego Piriz 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Facundo Silvera 30'
  • yellowcard Adrian Colombino 77'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Andrada 86'
  • yellowcard Jorge Gonzalez 90'
  • goal Joel Poiso 90'+5'