Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 1
Aug 9, 2026 3.00pm
Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo

Danubio vs Cerro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Danubio

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Aug 1, 2026 4.00pm
Albion 2 - 2 Danubio

Cerro

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Aug 3, 2026 11.00pm
Defensor 2 - 1 Cerro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Danubio win with a probability of 51.06%. A draw has a probability of 27.01% and a win for Cerro has a probability of 21.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.27%) , while for a Cerro win it is 0-1 (8.39%).

Result

Danubio 51.06%
Draw 27.01%
Cerro 21.93%

Both Teams to Score: 

44.29%

Goals

Over 1.5 66.11%
Under 1.5 33.89%
Over 2.5 40.33%
Under 2.5 59.67%
Over 3.5 20.29%
Under 3.5 79.71%
Over 4.5 10.66%
Under 4.5 89.34%

First Half Winner

Danubio 34.75%
Draw 47.74%
Cerro 17.51%

Team To Score First

Danubio 55.16%
No Goal 10.37%
Cerro 34.47%

Corners

Over 8 53.77%
Equal 8 12.26%
Under 8 33.97%
Over 9 41.67%
Equal 9 12.1%
Under 9 46.23%
Over 10.5 30.74%
Under 10.5 69.26%

Danubio Goals

Over 1.5 41.57%
Under 1.5 58.43%
Over 2.5 16.69%
Under 2.5 83.31%
Over 3.5 5.64%
Under 3.5 94.36%

Cerro Goals

Over 0.5 54.37%
Under 0.5 45.63%
Over 1.5 20%
Under 1.5 80%
Over 2.5 5.44%
Under 2.5 94.56%
Over 3.5 1.28%
Under 3.5 98.72%

Score analysis

Danubio 51.05%
Draw 27.03%
Cerro 21.92%
Danubio
1-0 @ 15.13%
2-0 @ 10.03%
2-1 @ 9.62%
3-0 @ 4.47%
3-1 @ 4.09%
3-2 @ 2.08%
Other @ 5.63%
Total : 51.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.27%
0-0 @ 10.37%
2-2 @ 3.97%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.03%
Cerro
0-1 @ 8.39%
1-2 @ 5.03%
0-2 @ 3.48%
1-3 @ 1.57%
2-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 21.92%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 1
Feb 9, 2026 11.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli
  • Agustin Miranda 55' yellowcard
  • Agustín Miranda 55' yellowcard
  • Francisco Bregante Torres 67' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Mederos 67' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Mederos Carro 76' yellowcard
  • Brahian Aleman 76' yellowcard
  • Ivan Valenzuela 76' yellowcard
  • Brahian Alemán 76' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Sena 76' yellowcard
  • Iván Valenzuela 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Enzo Cabrera 64'
  • yellowcard Leandro Sosa  64'
  • yellowcard Enrique Femia 64'
  • yellowcard Enzo Cabrera 65'
  • yellowcard Luis Femia 65'
  • yellowcard Leandro Sosa 65'
  • goal Maicol Ferreira 66'
  • goal Maicol Ferreira 66'
  • yellowcard Ivo Costantino 88'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Sep 14, 2025 7.30pm
5
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 7
Mar 23, 2025 8.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Monumental Luis Troccoli
  • Mathias Abero 6' goal
  • Enrique Almeida 15' yellowcard
  • Mauro Villar 17' yellowcard
  • Axel Emilio Frugone Marotta 89' yellowcard
  • Enzo Larrosa 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Juan Millan 67'
  • yellowcard Mauro Goicoechea 81'
  • redcard Emiliano Velazquez 81'
  • goal Santiago Romero 89'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 12
Nov 14, 2024 12.45pm
0
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jardines del Hipodromo
  • 44' goal
  • 73' goal
  • Cristhian Tizon 73' yellowcard
  • Maximiliano Cantera 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Martin Rabunal 47'
  • yellowcard Alejo Macelli 56'
  • yellowcard Elbio Maximiliano Perez Azambuya 69'
  • yellowcard Mathias Abero 88'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 3
Jun 22, 2024 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Monumental Luis Troccoli
  • Martin Rabunal 36' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mateo Peralta 35'
  • yellowcard Lucas Ferreira 53'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 12
May 11, 2024 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Monumental Luis Troccoli
  • Mathias Abero 13' yellowcard
  • Mariano Peralta 18' goal
  • Pablo Lacoste 27' goal
  • Bruno Scorza 34' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kevin Lewis 26'
  • yellowcard Matias Fracchia 56'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Fernandez 73'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Fernandez 74'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Ancheta 90'+7'