Aug 3, 2026 11.00pm

2

1

HT : 1 1

FT Estadio Luis Franzini

Martín Rabuñal 33'
Nicolás Medina 37'
Nicolás Wunsch 52'
Tomás Pozzo 74'
Lautaro Navarro 85'

Damián Suárez 17'
Jairo Amaro 30'
Francisco Bregante 65'
Juan Cruz Guasone 73'

Defensor Sporting vs Cerro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Defensor Sporting

All competitions

L
D
L
D
D
L

Uruguayan Primera Division

L
D
D
D
L
L

Last game

Jul 25, 2026 10.00pm

Defensor 1 - 2 Liverpool

Cerro

All competitions

W
W
L
L
W
L

Uruguayan Primera Division

W
W
L
L
W
L

Last game

Jul 26, 2026 7.00pm

Cerro 1 - 0 Racing

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 50.57%. A draw had a probability of 25.62% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 23.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.19%) and 2-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%) , while for a Cerro win it was 0-1 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result

Defensor Sporting 50.57% ▼ (-0.36)

Draw 25.62% ▼ (-0.34)

Cerro 23.81% ▲ (+0.70)

Both Teams to Score:

48.62% ▲ (+1.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.16% ▲ (+1.18)

Under 1.5 29.84% ▼ (-1.18)

Over 2.5 45.01% ▲ (+1.74)

Under 2.5 54.99% ▼ (-1.74)

Over 3.5 23.43% ▲ (+1.83)

Under 3.5 76.57% ▼ (-1.83)

Over 4.5 12.72% ▲ (+1.41)

Under 4.5 87.28% ▼ (-1.41)

First Half Winner

Defensor Sporting 32.52% ▼ (-0.64)

Draw 49.7% ▲ (+1.46)

Cerro 17.78% ▼ (-0.81)

Team To Score First

Defensor Sporting 54.97% ▼ (-0.74)

No Goal 8.45% ▼ (-0.32)

Cerro 36.58% ▲ (+1.04)

Corners

Over 8 55.09% ▲ (+0.86)

Equal 8 12.26% ▲ (+0.10)

Under 8 32.65% ▼ (-0.97)

Over 9 42.88% ▲ (+0.71)

Equal 9 12.21% ▲ (+0.16)

Under 9 44.91% ▼ (-0.86)

Over 10.5 31.78% ▲ (+0.54)

Under 10.5 68.22% ▼ (-0.54)

Defensor Sporting Goals

Over 1.5 44.15% ▲ (+1.09)

Under 1.5 55.85% ▼ (-1.09)

Over 2.5 18.27% ▲ (+0.79)

Under 2.5 81.73% ▼ (-0.79)

Over 3.5 6.52% ▲ (+0.68)

Under 3.5 93.48% ▼ (-0.68)

Cerro Goals

Over 0.5 57.97% ▲ (+1.08)

Under 0.5 42.03% ▼ (-1.08)

Over 1.5 23.29% ▲ (+1.24)

Under 1.5 76.71% ▼ (-1.24)

Over 2.5 6.67% ▲ (+0.63)

Under 2.5 93.33% ▼ (-0.63)

Over 3.5 1.49% ▲ (+0.19)

Under 3.5 98.51% ▼ (-0.19)

Score analysis

Defensor Sporting 50.56%

Draw 25.62%

Cerro 23.8%

Defensor Sporting

1-0 @ 13.23% ▼ (-0.89)

2-1 @ 10.19% ▲ (+0.20)

2-0 @ 9.55% ▼ (-0.31)

3-1 @ 4.38% ▲ (+0.06)

3-0 @ 4.27% ▼ (-0.29)

3-2 @ 2.43% ▲ (+0.17)

Other @ 6.51% ▲ (+0.68)

Total : 50.56%

Draw

1-1 @ 11.97% ▼ (-0.42)

0-0 @ 8.45% ▼ (-0.32)

2-2 @ 4.52% ▲ (+0.21)

Other @ 0.01%

Total : 25.62%

Cerro

0-1 @ 8.14%

1-2 @ 6.02% ▲ (+0.07)

0-2 @ 3.65% ▲ (+0.17)

1-3 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.15)

2-3 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.22)

0-3 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.08)

Other @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.19)

Total : 23.8%

Head to Head

Apr 5, 2026 7.30pm

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli

Tiago Rijo 67'
67'
Brian Quinteros 67'
Brahian Alemán 83'
Nahuel Soria 88'
88'
Rodrigo Mederos 90'+3'

Alan Torterolo 68'
Lautaro Navarro 68'
Brian Lozano 68'
Valentín Rodríguez 68'
68'
Tiago Rijo 68'
Valentín Rodríguez 76'
Lautaro Navarro 76'
76'
Nahuel Soria 76'
Mateo Caballero 89'

Oct 12, 2025 12.30am

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Jun 23, 2025 12.00am

Apr 14, 2025 10.00pm

3

2

HT : 4 2

FT Estadio Luis Franzini

Alfonso Barco 17'
Alfonso Barco 17'
Patricio Pacifico 19'
Patricio Pacifico 19'
Walter Montoya 39'
Walter Montoya 39'
Maxi Gomez 45'+2'
Maxi Gomez 45'+2'
Walter Montoya 69'
Walter Montoya 69'
Walter Montoya 70'
Walter Montoya 70'
Juan Bautista Viacava Caviglia 83'
Juan Bautista Viacava Caviglia 83'

Carlos Emanuel Cuello Azambuya 26'
Carlos Emanuel Cuello Azambuya 26'
Enzo Larrosa 30'
Enzo Larrosa 30'
Brian Leonel Benitez 33'
Brian Leonel Benitez 33'
Mathias Abero 58'
Mathias Abero 58'
Brian Leonel Benitez 62'
Brian Leonel Benitez 62'
Emiliano Alvarez 77'
Emiliano Alvarez 77'
Facundo Silvestre 84'
Facundo Silvestre 84'
Matias Ocampo 88'
Matias Ocampo 88'
Jonathan Mathias Cubero Rieta 89'
Jonathan Mathias Cubero Rieta 89'
Emiliano Alvarez 90'+2'
Lucas Sebastian Sequeira Almada 90'+2'
Lucas Sebastian Sequeira Almada 90'+2'
Lucas Sebastian Sequeira Almada 90'+2'

Sep 7, 2024 7.00pm

1

1

HT : 1 0

FT Estadio Monumental Luis Troccoli

Santiago Ramirez 6'
Alejo Macelli 68'
Claudio Spinelli 85'

Kevin Dawson 5'
Brian Mansilla 62'
Walter Montoya 89'
Claudio Spinelli 90'+3'
Augusto Cambon 90'+3'

Feb 25, 2024 10.30pm

0

0

HT : 1 0

Aband. Estadio Luis Franzini

Octavio Rivero 18'
Octavio Rivero 22'
Octavio Rivero 47'
Guillermo De Los Santos 51'
Anderson Duarte 56'
Agustin Soria 75'

Alejo Macelli 49'

Form Data

Defensor 1 - 2 Liverpool

Cerro Largo 1 - 1 Defensor

Cruzeiro 2 - 0 Defensor

Defensor 1 - 1 Boston River

Racing 0 - 0 Defensor

Defensor 0 - 2 Penarol

Cerro 1 - 0 Racing

Liverpool 1 - 2 Cerro

Cerro 0 - 1 Penarol

Cerro Largo 2 - 0 Cerro

Cerro 1 - 0 Central Español

Boston River 4 - 1 Cerro