Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 3
Aug 23, 2026 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo
  • Emiliano Velázquez 38' yellowcard
  • Mauro Alejandro Brasil Alcaire 55' yellowcard
  • Maicol Ferreira 57' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Thiago Fernández 79'
  • yellowcard Agustín De la Cuesta Airoldi 90'+2'

Danubio vs Racing de Montevideo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Danubio

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Aug 14, 2026 11.00pm
Boston River 0 - 0 Danubio
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Maicol Ferreira

Racing de Montevideo

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 8.30pm
Racing 2 - 0 Nacional
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Tomás Habib

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 44.72%. A draw had a probability of 29.27% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 26.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.27%) , while for a Danubio win it was 1-0 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result

Danubio 26.01% ▲ (+0.81)
Draw 29.27% ▲ (+0.15)
Racing de Montevideo 44.72% ▼ (-0.99)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.29% ▲ (+0.54)

Goals

Over 1.5 64.74% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 1.5 35.26% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 2.5 38.37% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 61.63% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 19.16% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 80.84% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 4.5 9.51% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 90.49% ▼ (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Danubio 21.67% ▼ (-0.35)
Draw 49.65% ▲ (+0.29)
Racing de Montevideo 28.68% ▲ (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Danubio 37.13% ▼ (-0.10)
No Goal 11.38% ▼ (-0.06)
Racing de Montevideo 51.49% ▲ (+0.17)

Corners

Over 8 50.95% ▼ (-0.15)
Equal 8 11.73% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 8 37.32% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 9 39.62% ▼ (-0.10)
Equal 9 11.33% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 9 49.05% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 10.5 29.54% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 10.5 70.46% ▲ (+0.02)

Danubio Goals

Over 1.5 23.03% ▲ (+0.66)
Under 1.5 76.97% ▼ (-0.66)
Over 2.5 6.05% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 2.5 93.95% ▼ (-0.27)
Over 3.5 1.42% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 3.5 98.58% ▼ (-0.11)

Racing de Montevideo Goals

Over 0.5 71.78% ▼ (-0.49)
Under 0.5 28.22% ▲ (+0.49)
Over 1.5 36.42% ▼ (-0.58)
Under 1.5 63.58% ▲ (+0.58)
Over 2.5 14.21% ▼ (-0.37)
Under 2.5 85.79% ▲ (+0.38)
Over 3.5 4.22% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 3.5 95.78% ▲ (+0.10)

Score analysis

Danubio 26.01%
Draw 29.28%
Racing de Montevideo 44.72%
Danubio
1-0 @ 9.72% ▲ (+0.13)
2-1 @ 6.1% ▲ (+0.16)
2-0 @ 4.68% ▲ (+0.20)
3-1 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.09)
3-0 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 1.41% ▲ (+0.11)
Total : 26.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.27% ▲ (+0.20)
0-0 @ 11.38% ▼ (-0.06)
2-2 @ 4.09% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 29.28%
Racing de Montevideo
0-1 @ 14.17% ▼ (-0.36)
1-2 @ 8.48% ▼ (-0.13)
0-2 @ 8.4% ▼ (-0.18)
1-3 @ 3.76% ▼ (-0.08)
0-3 @ 3.59% ▼ (-0.16)
2-3 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.21% ▼ (-0.10)
Total : 44.72%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
Feb 21, 2026 12.45pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Parque Osvaldo Roberto
  • 16' yellowcard
  • Sebastián da Silva 16' yellowcard
  • Tomás Habib 28' goal
  • Iván Manzur 36' yellowcard
  • Juan Pablo Bosca 46' yellowcard
  • Facundo González 62' yellowcard
  • Franco Suárez 68' yellowcard
  • Yuri Oyarzo 68' yellowcard
  • Yuri Oyarzo 76' goal
  • Iván Manzur 78' goal
  • Álex Vázquez 81' goal
  • yellowcard Mateo Rinaldi 25'
  • yellowcard Iván Rossi 46'
  • yellowcard Enzo Cabrera 62'
  • yellowcard Enrique Femia 73'
  • yellowcard Leandro Sosa  73'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Nov 2, 2025 7.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 5
Jun 16, 2025 11.00pm
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 14
May 3, 2025 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jardines del Hipodromo
  • Facundo Gonzalez 34' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Juan Pablo Bosca Fraquelli 75'
  • yellowcard Juan Pablo Bosca Fraquelli 75'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 13
Nov 17, 2024 7.30pm
0
0
HT : 1 0
FT Parque Osvaldo Roberto
  • Guillermo Cotugno 13' goal
  • Thiago Espinosa 16' yellowcard
  • Lucas Rodriguez 21' yellowcard
  • Renzo Bacchia 22' yellowcard
  • Lucas Rodriguez 45' redcard
  • Hugo Magallanes 58' yellowcard
  • Hugo Magallanes 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luis Femia 54'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 13
May 19, 2024 4.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jardines del Hipodromo
  • Lucas Ferreira 13' yellowcard
  • Matias Gonzalez 30' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Apud 30' yellowcard
  • Hernan Novick 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Robinson Ferreira 25'
  • goal Gaston Bueno 86'