Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 3
Aug 23, 2026 3.00pm
Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo

Danubio vs Racing de Montevideo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Danubio

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Aug 14, 2026 11.00pm
Boston River 0 - 0 Danubio

Racing de Montevideo

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 8.30pm
Racing 2 - 0 Nacional

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 45.7%. A draw has a probability of 29.13% and a win for Danubio has a probability of 25.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win is 0-1 with a probability of 14.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.07%) , while for a Danubio win it is 1-0 (9.6%).

Result

Danubio 25.21% (+0.02)
Draw 29.13% (-0.02)
Racing de Montevideo 45.7% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.75% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 64.52% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 35.48% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 38.36% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 61.64% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 19.07%
Under 3.5 80.93% (+0.06)
Over 4.5 9.47% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 90.53% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Danubio 22.02%
Draw 49.36% (+0.01)
Racing de Montevideo 28.62% (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Danubio 37.23% (-0.14)
No Goal 11.44%
Racing de Montevideo 51.33% (+0.13)

Corners

Over 8 51.1%
Equal 8 11.78%
Under 8 37.12% (-0.02)
Over 9 39.71%
Equal 9 11.39%
Under 9 48.9%
Over 10.5 29.57%
Under 10.5 70.44% (+0.01)

Danubio Goals

Over 1.5 22.38% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 77.62% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 5.78%
Under 2.5 94.22%
Over 3.5 1.31%
Under 3.5 98.69%

Racing de Montevideo Goals

Over 0.5 72.27% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 27.73% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 36.99% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 63.01% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 14.58% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 85.42% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.32%
Under 3.5 95.68%

Score analysis

Danubio 25.22%
Draw 29.15%
Racing de Montevideo 45.72%
Danubio
1-0 @ 9.6% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 5.94%
2-0 @ 4.48% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 1.74%
3-2 @ 1.16%
3-0 @ 1%
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 25.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.07%
0-0 @ 11.44%
2-2 @ 4.06% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 29.15%
Racing de Montevideo
0-1 @ 14.53% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 8.61% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 8.58% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.83% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 3.74%
2-3 @ 2.12% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.31%
Total : 45.72%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
Feb 21, 2026 12.45pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Parque Osvaldo Roberto
  • 16' yellowcard
  • Sebastián da Silva 16' yellowcard
  • Tomás Habib 28' goal
  • Iván Manzur 36' yellowcard
  • Juan Pablo Bosca 46' yellowcard
  • Facundo González 62' yellowcard
  • Franco Suárez 68' yellowcard
  • Yuri Oyarzo 68' yellowcard
  • Yuri Oyarzo 76' goal
  • Iván Manzur 78' goal
  • Álex Vázquez 81' goal
  • yellowcard Mateo Rinaldi 25'
  • yellowcard Iván Rossi 46'
  • yellowcard Enzo Cabrera 62'
  • yellowcard Enrique Femia 73'
  • yellowcard Leandro Sosa  73'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Nov 2, 2025 7.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 5
Jun 16, 2025 11.00pm
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 14
May 3, 2025 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jardines del Hipodromo
  • Facundo Gonzalez 34' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Juan Pablo Bosca Fraquelli 75'
  • yellowcard Juan Pablo Bosca Fraquelli 75'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 13
Nov 17, 2024 7.30pm
0
0
HT : 1 0
FT Parque Osvaldo Roberto
  • Guillermo Cotugno 13' goal
  • Thiago Espinosa 16' yellowcard
  • Lucas Rodriguez 21' yellowcard
  • Renzo Bacchia 22' yellowcard
  • Lucas Rodriguez 45' redcard
  • Hugo Magallanes 58' yellowcard
  • Hugo Magallanes 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luis Femia 54'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 13
May 19, 2024 4.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jardines del Hipodromo
  • Lucas Ferreira 13' yellowcard
  • Matias Gonzalez 30' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Apud 30' yellowcard
  • Hernan Novick 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Robinson Ferreira 25'
  • goal Gaston Bueno 86'