Uruguayan Primera Division
Aug 15, 2026 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli
  • Brahian Alemán 41' goal
  • Augusto Cambón 88' goal
  • goal Álvaro López 8'

Cerro vs Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Aug 9, 2026 3.00pm
Danubio 0 - 1 Cerro

Albion

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 7.00pm
Liverpool 1 - 0 Albion

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albion win with a probability of 41.78%. A draw had a probability of 32.85% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 25.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.53%) and 1-2 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.03%) , while for a Cerro win it was 1-0 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result

Cerro 25.38% ▲ (+0.33)
Draw 32.85%
Albion 41.78% ▼ (-0.30)

Both Teams to Score: 

38.87% ▼ (-0.35)

Goals

Over 1.5 57.48% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 1.5 42.52% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 2.5 30.4% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 69.6% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 13.43% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 86.57% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 6.03% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 93.97% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Cerro 20.07% ▲ (+0.25)
Draw 51.34% ▼ (-0.02)
Albion 28.58% ▼ (-0.25)

Team To Score First

Cerro 36.82% ▼ (-0.04)
No Goal 15.03% ▲ (+0.04)
Albion 48.15%

Corners

Over 8 44.84% ▼ (-0.27)
Equal 8 12.01%
Under 8 43.15% ▲ (+0.27)
Over 9 33.78% ▼ (-0.25)
Equal 9 11.06% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 9 55.16% ▲ (+0.27)
Over 10.5 24.4% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 10.5 75.6% ▲ (+0.19)

Cerro Goals

Over 1.5 18.72% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 1.5 81.28% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 2.5 4.26% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 95.74% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 0.91% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 99.09% ▼ (-0.04)

Albion Goals

Over 0.5 67.04% ▼ (-0.30)
Under 0.5 32.96% ▲ (+0.31)
Over 1.5 30.44% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 1.5 69.56% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 2.5 10.26% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 89.74% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 2.85% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.15% ▲ (+0.03)

Score analysis

Cerro 25.38%
Draw 32.85%
Albion 41.77%
Cerro
1-0 @ 11.67% ▲ (+0.15)
2-1 @ 5.41% ▲ (+0.09)
2-0 @ 4.51% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 1.33%
Other @ 0.84% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 25.38%
Draw
0-0 @ 15.03% ▲ (+0.04)
1-1 @ 14.04% ▼ (-0.13)
2-2 @ 3.31% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.07% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 32.85%
Albion
0-1 @ 15.82% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 8.53% ▼ (-0.11)
1-2 @ 7.63% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 3.01% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.77% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.78% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 41.77%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
Feb 16, 2026 10.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Luis Franzini
  • Francisco Ginella 10' goal
  • Alvaro Lopez 60' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Roldan 60' yellowcard
  • Álvaro López 61' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Roldán 61' yellowcard
  • Federico Puente 78' yellowcard
  • Andres Romero 78' yellowcard
  • Andrés Romero 78' yellowcard
  • Carlos Airala 86' goal
  • Pablo Lacoste 86' yellowcard
  • Pablo Lacoste  87' yellowcard
  • Álvaro López 90'+1' goal
  • Alvaro Lopez 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Mederos Carro 46'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Mederos 46'
  • yellowcard Nahuel Sena 57'
  • yellowcard Jorge Alejandro Severo Cordero 57'
  • yellowcard Rodolfo Nahuel Sena Aguirre 57'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Severo 57'
  • yellowcard Augusto Cambon 76'
  • yellowcard Augusto Cambón 76'
  • yellowcard Nahuel Soria 82'