Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 5
Sep 6, 2026 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli
  • Damián Suárez 8' goal
  • Jairo Amaro 30' yellowcard
  • Cristian Barros 45'+2' redcard
  • Damián Suárez 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Juan Pablo Bosca 66'
  • yellowcard Álex Vázquez 84'

Cerro vs Racing de Montevideo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 6.00pm
Boston River 1 - 1 Cerro
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Alejo Macelli 

Racing de Montevideo

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Aug 31, 2026 7.30pm
Racing 1 - 0 Albion
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Tomás Habib

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 54.44%. A draw has a probability of 30.03% and a win for Cerro has a probability of 15.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win is 0-1 with a probability of 18.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (12.26%) and 1-2 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (14.32%) , while for a Cerro win it is 1-0 (8.17%).

Result

Cerro 15.52% (-0.50)
Draw 30.03% (-0.56)
Racing de Montevideo 54.44% (+1.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

37.45% (+0.58)

Goals

Over 1.5 59.1% (+0.46)
Under 1.5 40.9% (-0.46)
Over 2.5 31.27% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 68.73% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 14.45% (+0.27)
Under 3.5 85.55% (-0.27)
Over 4.5 7.3% (+0.21)
Under 4.5 92.7% (-0.21)

First Half Winner

Cerro 13.82% (-0.49)
Draw 51.69% (-0.40)
Racing de Montevideo 34.5% (+0.89)

Team To Score First

Cerro 28.21% (+0.75)
No Goal 14.32% (-0.50)
Racing de Montevideo 57.47% (-0.26)

Corners

Over 8 43.59% (-1.03)
Equal 8 12.29% (-0.22)
Under 8 44.12% (+1.24)
Over 9 32.4% (-0.75)
Equal 9 11.19% (-0.29)
Under 9 56.41% (+1.03)
Over 10.5 23.02% (-0.47)
Under 10.5 76.98% (+0.47)

Cerro Goals

Over 1.5 11.79% (-0.47)
Under 1.5 88.21% (+0.46)
Over 2.5 1.33% (-0.27)
Under 2.5 98.67% (+0.27)
Over 3.5 0.23% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 99.77% (+0.02)

Racing de Montevideo Goals

Over 0.5 74.54% (+0.78)
Under 0.5 25.46% (-0.77)
Over 1.5 39.17% (+0.61)
Under 1.5 60.83% (-0.61)
Over 2.5 15.92% (+0.57)
Under 2.5 84.08% (-0.57)
Over 3.5 4.96% (+0.26)
Under 3.5 95.04% (-0.26)

Score analysis

Cerro 15.51%
Draw 30.05%
Racing de Montevideo 54.44%
Cerro
1-0 @ 8.17% (-0.19)
2-1 @ 3.52% (-0.21)
2-0 @ 2.67% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.22% (-0.02)
Total : 15.51%
Draw
0-0 @ 14.32% (-0.50)
1-1 @ 12.91% (+0.16)
2-2 @ 2.64% (-0.11)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 30.05%
Racing de Montevideo
0-1 @ 18.41% (+0.27)
0-2 @ 12.26% (+0.28)
1-2 @ 8.03% (-0.12)
0-3 @ 5.19% (+0.14)
1-3 @ 3.97% (+0.21)
2-3 @ 1.63% (+0.07)
Other @ 4.95% (+0.26)
Total : 54.44%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 6
Jul 26, 2026 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli
  • Nahuel Arena 4' goal
  • Damián Suárez 67' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Arena 78' yellowcard
  • Bruno Morales 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sebastián da Silva 67'
  • yellowcard Yuri Oyarzo 69'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Mar 8, 2026 12.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Osvaldo Roberto
  • Álex Vázquez 46' yellowcard
  • 46' yellowcard
  • Nicolás Sosa  46' yellowcard
  • Agustín Álvarez 55' yellowcard
  • Nicolás Sosa  55' yellowcard
  • 55' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Dudok 73' yellowcard
  • Bautista Euclides Tomatis 73' yellowcard
  • Bautista Euclides Tomatis 81' yellowcard
  • 81' yellowcard
  • Bautista Euclides Tomatis 90' goal
  • yellowcard Jairo Amaro 46'
  • yellowcard 46'
  • yellowcard 46'
  • yellowcard Bruno Morales 69'
  • yellowcard 69'
  • yellowcard 70'
  • yellowcard Mateo Argüello 73'
  • yellowcard 74'
  • yellowcard 90'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Aug 10, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 2
Feb 8, 2025 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Osvaldo Roberto
  • Axel Atum 90'+5' redcard
  • yellowcard Matias Leonardo Nunez Perdomo 60'
  • yellowcard Horacio Salaberry 82'
  • goal Mathias Abero 90'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 9
Oct 20, 2024 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Monumental Luis Troccoli
  • Pablo Lacoste 58' yellowcard
  • Claudio Araujo 65' yellowcard
  • Gaston Rodriguez 83' goal
  • Martin Rabunal 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Santiago Ramirez 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Gonzalez 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Agustin Alaniz 27'
  • yellowcard Dylan Nandin 31'
  • yellowcard Robinson Ferreira 44'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 9
Apr 19, 2024 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Parque Osvaldo Roberto
  • Dylan Nandin 24' goal
  • Hugo Magallanes 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Rodriguez 49'
  • yellowcard Yonathan Gorgoroso 51'
  • goal Lucas Rodriguez 57'
  • yellowcard Mathias Abero 90'+4'