World Cup Qualifying - South America
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-
Nahitan Nandez
64'
-
Mathias Olivera
86'
-
Thiago Almada
68'
-
Julian Alvarez
90'+1'
-
Nicolas Gonzalez
90'+5'
Uruguay vs Argentina - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Result
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Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 36.19%. A win for Uruguay had a probability of 35.45% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.68%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Uruguay win was 1-0 (11.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Argentina in this match.
Result
Uruguay
35.45%
▲
(+0.89)
Draw
28.36%
▲
(+0.15)
Argentina
36.19%
▼
(-1.04)
Both Teams to Score:
46.72%
▼
(-0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5
40.43%
▼
(-0.50)
Under 2.5
59.57%
▲
(+0.50)
Over 3.5
20.09%
▼
(-0.39)
Under 3.5
79.9%
▲
(+0.39)
Over 4.5
8.39%
▼
(-0.23)
Under 4.5
91.61%
▲
(+0.23)
Uruguay Goals
Over 0.5
68.12%
▲
(+0.33)
Under 0.5
31.88%
▼
(-0.33)
Over 1.5
31.68%
▲
(+0.37)
Under 1.5
68.32%
▼
(-0.37)
Argentina Goals
Over 0.5
68.59%
▼
(-0.90)
Under 0.5
31.41%
▲
(+0.90)
Over 1.5
32.22%
▼
(-1.05)
Under 1.5
67.78%
▲
(+1.05)
Score analysis
Uruguay
35.45%
Draw
28.35%
Argentina
36.18%
Uruguay
1-0
@
11.44%
▲
(+0.31)
2-1 @ 7.58% ▲ (+0.09)
2-0 @ 6.54% ▲ (+0.24)
3-1 @ 2.89% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 2.49% ▲ (+0.11)
3-2 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 35.45%
2-1 @ 7.58% ▲ (+0.09)
2-0 @ 6.54% ▲ (+0.24)
3-1 @ 2.89% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 2.49% ▲ (+0.11)
3-2 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 35.45%
Draw
1-1
@
13.25%
▲
(+0.04)
0-0 @ 10.01% ▲ (+0.19)
2-2 @ 4.39% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.35%
0-0 @ 10.01% ▲ (+0.19)
2-2 @ 4.39% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.35%
Argentina
0-1
@
11.59%
▼
(-0.08)
1-2 @ 7.68% ▼ (-0.17)
0-2 @ 6.71% ▼ (-0.21)
1-3 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.15)
0-3 @ 2.59% ▼ (-0.15)
2-3 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 36.18%
1-2 @ 7.68% ▼ (-0.17)
0-2 @ 6.71% ▼ (-0.21)
1-3 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.15)
0-3 @ 2.59% ▼ (-0.15)
2-3 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 36.18%
Head to Head
World Cup Qualifying - South America
-
Alexis Mac Allister
35'
-
Alexis Mac Allister
35'
-
Lautaro Martinez
68'
-
Lautaro Martinez
68'
-
Cristian Romero
77'
-
Cristian Romero
77'
-
Exequiel Palacios
90'+2'
-
Exequiel Palacios
90'+2'
-
Manuel Ugarte
32'
-
Manuel Ugarte
32'
-
Ronald Araujo
41'
-
Ronald Araujo
41'
-
Jose Gimenez
67'
-
Jose Gimenez
67'
-
Mathias Olivera
79'
-
Mathias Olivera
79'
-
Darwin Nunez
87'
-
Darwin Nunez
87'
Build-up
News
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