CONCACAF Champions League
May 7, 2026 2.30am
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Díez
  • Helinho 49' yellowcard
  • Everardo del Villar 58' goal
  • Diego Barbosa 74' yellowcard
  • Pável Pérez 82' yellowcard
  • Fernando Arce 82' yellowcard
  • Paulinho 90'+2' goal
  • Antonio Briseño 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Paulinho 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Ryan Hollingshead 46'
  • yellowcard Stephen Eustaquio 59'
  • yellowcard David Martínez 59'
  • yellowcard Artem Smolyakov 76'
  • yellowcard Jeremy Ebobisse 77'

Toluca vs Los Angeles FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

All competitions
CONCACAF Champions League
Last game
Apr 30, 2026 3.30am
Los Angeles 2 - 1 Toluca

Los Angeles FC

All competitions
CONCACAF Champions League
Last game
Apr 30, 2026 3.30am
Los Angeles 2 - 1 Toluca

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 48.38%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 26.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 0-1 (7.17%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%).

Result

Toluca 48.38%
Draw 24.66%
Los Angeles FC 26.99% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.56%

Goals

Over 1.5 76.04% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 23.96% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 52.78% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 47.22% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 31.51%
Under 3.5 68.52%
Over 4.5 18.41% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 81.59% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Toluca 39.88%
Draw 36.85%
Los Angeles FC 23.27%

Team To Score First

Toluca 56.51%
No Goal 6.49%
Los Angeles FC 37%

Corners

Over 8 58.16%
Equal 8 11.43%
Under 8 30.42%
Over 9 46.48%
Equal 9 11.67%
Under 9 41.84%
Over 10.5 35.55%
Under 10.5 64.45%

Toluca Goals

Over 1.5 47.16% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 52.84% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 22.3%
Under 2.5 77.7%
Over 3.5 8.92% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 91.08% (+0.02)

Los Angeles FC Goals

Over 0.5 62.27% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 37.73% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 29.77% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 70.23% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 10.71% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 89.29% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 3.28% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 96.72% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Toluca 48.38%
Draw 24.68%
Los Angeles FC 27%
Toluca
1-0 @ 10.36%
2-1 @ 9.09% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8%
3-1 @ 4.99% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.2% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3% (-0.01)
Other @ 8.74% (-0.01)
Total : 48.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.25%
0-0 @ 6.49%
2-2 @ 5.57%
3-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.68%
Los Angeles FC
0-1 @ 7.17%
1-2 @ 6.51% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.98%
1-3 @ 2.56%
2-3 @ 2.2%
0-3 @ 1.48% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.1% (+0.02)
Total : 27%

Head to Head

CONCACAF Champions League
Apr 30, 2026 3.30am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT BMO Stadium
  • Timothy Tillman 51' goal
  • Kenny Nielsen 67' yellowcard
  • Stephen Eustaquio 80' yellowcard
  • Jeremy Ebobisse 80' yellowcard
  • Nkosi Tafari 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Diego Barbosa 64'
  • goal Jesús Angulo 73'
  • yellowcard 80'
  • yellowcard Alexis Vega 80'
  • yellowcard Fernando Arce 88'
  • yellowcard Jorge Díaz 89'