Nations League Gameweek 3
Oct 3, 2026 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere
  • Lamine Yamal 6' goal
  • Rodri  35' goal
  • Mikel Merino 89' goal
  • Fermín López 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Jiri Slama 69'
  • yellowcard Ladislav Krejci 79'
  • yellowcard Michal Sadílek 82'
  • redcard Ladislav Krejci 85'
  • yellowcard Santi Denia 85'
  • yellowcard Ondrej Lingr 89'
  • yellowcard Stepan Chaloupek 90'
  • yellowcard Antonín Kinský 90'+1'

Spain vs Czech Republic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Spain

All competitions

Czech Republic

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 68.14%. A draw had a probability of 19.02% and a win for Czech Republic had a probability of 12.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.72%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.28%) , while for a Czech Republic win it was 0-1 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result

Spain 68.14% ▲ (+0.72)
Draw 19.02% ▼ (-0.58)
Czech Republic 12.78% ▼ (-0.26)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.4% ▲ (+1.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.32% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 1.5 25.68% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 2.5 51.89% ▲ (+0.65)
Under 2.5 48.14% ▼ (-0.61)
Over 3.5 30.63% ▲ (+0.92)
Under 3.5 69.37% ▼ (-0.91)
Over 4.5 20.57% ▲ (+0.42)
Under 4.5 79.43% ▼ (-0.41)

First Half Winner

Spain 41.6% ▲ (+0.13)
Draw 39.35% ▼ (-0.81)
Czech Republic 19.05% ▲ (+0.70)

Team To Score First

Spain 62.35% ▲ (+3.95)
No Goal 6.86% ▼ (-0.34)
Czech Republic 30.79% ▼ (-3.61)

Corners

Over 8 53.6% ▲ (+1.39)
Equal 8 10.42% ▼ (-0.69)
Under 8 35.98% ▼ (-0.68)
Over 9 43.26% ▲ (+1.87)
Equal 9 10.34% ▼ (-0.50)
Under 9 46.4% ▼ (-1.39)
Over 10.5 33.76% ▲ (+2.13)
Under 10.5 66.25% ▼ (-2.13)

Spain Goals

Over 1.5 58.76% ▲ (+0.86)
Under 1.5 41.24% ▼ (-0.86)
Over 2.5 32.73% ▲ (+0.37)
Under 2.5 67.27% ▼ (-0.38)
Over 3.5 14.86% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 3.5 85.14% ▼ (-0.15)

Czech Republic Goals

Over 0.5 42.67% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 0.5 57.33% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 15.02% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 1.5 84.98% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 2.5 4.24% ▲ (+0.31)
Under 2.5 95.76% ▼ (-0.30)
Over 3.5 1.27% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 3.5 98.73% ▼ (-0.18)

Score analysis

Spain 68.14%
Draw 19.03%
Czech Republic 12.78%
Spain
1-0 @ 14.35% ▲ (+0.10)
2-0 @ 12.72% ▲ (+0.17)
2-1 @ 8.99% ▲ (+0.17)
3-0 @ 8.52% ▼ (-0.23)
3-1 @ 5.96% ▲ (+0.48)
3-2 @ 2.77% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 14.83% ▲ (+0.14)
Total : 68.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.28% ▼ (-0.31)
0-0 @ 6.86% ▼ (-0.34)
2-2 @ 3.24% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 19.03%
Czech Republic
0-1 @ 4.42% ▼ (-0.08)
1-2 @ 3.34% ▼ (-0.14)
0-2 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.30)
2-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.16)
Total : 12.78%

Head to Head

Nations League
Jun 12, 2022 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Carlos Soler 24' goal
  • Pablo Sarabia 75' goal
  • Dani Carvajal 78' yellowcard
Nations League
Jun 5, 2022 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Jakub Pesek 4' goal
  • Jan Kuchta 66' goal
  • Vladimir Coufal 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Gavi 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Rodri 58'
  • goal Inigo Martinez 90'
European Championship
Jun 13, 2016 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium de Toulouse
  • Gerard Pique 87' goal
  • yellowcard David Limbersky 61'