Serie B Gameweek 3
Sep 6, 2026 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi
  • Cristian Shpendi 77' goal
  • yellowcard Rachid Kouda 19'
  • goal Francesco Ruocco 31'
  • yellowcard Francesco Modesto 58'

Cesena vs Mantova - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cesena

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 6.00pm
Virtus Entella 1 - 2 Cesena
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Cristian Shpendi

Mantova

All competitions
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 6.00pm
Mantova 3 - 1 Empoli
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Francesco Ruocco

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cesena win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for Mantova had a probability of 27.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cesena win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Mantova win was 0-1 (8.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result

Cesena 45.61% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 26.77% ▲ (+0.08)
Mantova 27.63% ▼ (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.47% ▼ (-0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.74% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 27.26% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 2.5 48.58% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 2.5 51.42% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 3.5 26.58% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 3.5 73.42% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 4.5 14.83% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 4.5 85.17% ▲ (+0.11)

First Half Winner

Cesena 36.53%
Draw 41.65%
Mantova 21.82%

Team To Score First

Cesena 55.24% ▼ (-0.04)
No Goal 8.31% ▲ (+0.07)
Mantova 36.45% ▼ (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 56.8%
Equal 8 12.23%
Under 8 30.97%
Over 9 44.43%
Equal 9 12.37%
Under 9 43.2%
Over 10.5 33.03%
Under 10.5 66.97%

Cesena Goals

Over 1.5 43.01% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 56.99% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 18.67% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 2.5 81.33% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 6.8% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 93.2% ▲ (+0.05)

Mantova Goals

Over 0.5 62.61% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 0.5 37.39% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 1.5 28.42% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 1.5 71.58% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 2.5 9.75% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 90.25% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 2.65% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 97.35% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Cesena 45.59%
Draw 26.76%
Mantova 27.63%
Cesena
1-0 @ 10.83% ▲ (+0.05)
2-1 @ 9.59% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.74% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.37% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.87%
3-2 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 6.62% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 45.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.13% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 8.31% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 5.08% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.18% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 26.76%
Mantova
0-1 @ 8.1% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 6.72% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 4.3%
1-3 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.82% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.47% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 27.63%

Head to Head

Serie B Gameweek 31
Mar 17, 2026 7.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Danilo Martelli
  • Giovanni Zaro 6' goal
  • Andrea Meroni 57' goal
  • Tommaso Maggioni 63' yellowcard
  • 63' yellowcard
  • Maat Daniel Caprini 69' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Mancuso 69' yellowcard
  • César Falletti 82' yellowcard
  • Flavio Paoletti 82' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Mancuso 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Alberto Cerri 60'
  • yellowcard Simone Bastoni 63'
  • yellowcard Marco Olivieri 63'
  • yellowcard 63'
  • yellowcard Peter Amoran 75'
  • yellowcard Dimitri Bisoli 75'
Serie B
Dec 13, 2025 6.30pm
3
2
HT : 1 3
FT
  • Cristian Shpendi 42' goal
  • Alessio Castellini 54' goal
  • Giovanni Zaro 73' yellowcard
  • Gianluca Frabotta 78' goal
  • Gianluca Frabotta 80' yellowcard
  • goal Francesco Ruocco 17'
  • goal Federico Artioli 25'
  • goal Federico Artioli 25'
  • yellowcard Federico Artioli 56'
Serie B Gameweek 36
May 1, 2025 2.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Danilo Martelli
  • Antonio Fiori 19' goal
  • Simone Giordano 49' yellowcard
  • Salvatore Burrai 53' yellowcard
  • Salvatore Burrai 53' yellowcard
  • Davide Bragantini 80' goal
  • Alessandro Debenedetti 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Matteo Francesconi 27'
  • yellowcard Emanuele Adamo 33'
  • redcard Matteo Francesconi 46'
  • yellowcard 50'
Serie B Gameweek 7
Sep 29, 2024 2.00pm
4
2
HT : 3 0
FT Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi
  • Cristian Shpendi 5' goal
  • Augustus Kargbo 21' goal
  • Augustus Kargbo 32' yellowcard
  • Giuseppe Prestia 43' goal
  • Giacomo Calo 45' yellowcard
  • Elayis Tavsan 70' goal
  • Massimiliano Mangraviti 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Simone Trimboli 12'
  • goal Alex Redolfi 58'
  • goal Francesco Ruocco 84'