Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cesena win with a probability of 51.63%. A draw had a probability of 26.25% and a win for Calcio Padova had a probability of 22.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cesena win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%) , while for a Calcio Padova win it was 0-1 (7.71%).