Club Friendlies 3
Aug 1, 2026 7.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi
  • 45'+5' goal
  • 70' goal
  • 72' goal

Cesena vs Fossombrone - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cesena

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 25, 2026 4.00pm
Cesena 1 - 0 Athletic Carpi

Fossombrone

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cesena win with a probability of 71.42%. A draw had a probability of 18.36% and a win for Fossombrone had a probability of 10.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cesena win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.59%) and 2-1 (10.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.48%) , while for a Fossombrone win it was 0-1 (3.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result

Cesena 71.42% (-0.13)
Draw 18.36% (+0.06)
Fossombrone 10.23% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.24% (+0.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.18% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 22.82% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 54.38% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 45.62% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 31.38% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 68.62% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 21.31% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 78.69% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Cesena 48.37% (-0.10)
Draw 39.31% (+0.07)
Fossombrone 12.32% (+0.05)

Team To Score First

Cesena 72.05% (-0.13)
No Goal 6.47% (+0.02)
Fossombrone 21.48% (+0.11)

Corners

Over 8 60.69% (+0.13)
Equal 8 11.53% (-0.01)
Under 8 27.78% (-0.13)
Over 9 48.65% (+0.13)
Equal 9 12.05% (+0.02)
Under 9 39.31% (-0.13)
Over 10.5 37.16% (+0.11)
Under 10.5 62.84% (-0.11)

Cesena Goals

Over 1.5 62.89% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 37.11% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 35.76% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 64.24% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 17.12% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 82.88% (+0.07)

Fossombrone Goals

Over 0.5 41.99% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 58.01% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 12.61% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 87.39% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 2.4% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 97.6% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 0.41% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 99.59% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Cesena 71.43%
Draw 18.36%
Fossombrone 10.23%
Cesena
2-0 @ 12.93% (+0.04)
1-0 @ 12.59% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 10.56%
3-0 @ 8.93% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 6.56% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.75% (+0.03)
Other @ 17.11% (-0.07)
Total : 71.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.48% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.47% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 3% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 18.36%
Fossombrone
0-1 @ 3.78% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 3.1% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.36% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.4% (+0.03)
Total : 10.23%