Serie A Gameweek 38
Udinese
May 25, 2025 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 1 0
FT Dacia Arena
Fiorentina
  • Jaka Bijol 9' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Lucca 26' goal
  • Jaka Bijol 39' redcard
  • Christian Kabasele 61' goal
  • Jesper Karlstrom 89' yellowcard
  • goal Nicolo Fagioli 46'
  • yellowcard Lucas Beltran 50'
  • goal Pietro Comuzzo 57'
  • yellowcard Amir Richardson 59'
  • goal Moise Kean 82'

Udinese vs Fiorentina - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Udinese

All competitions
Last game
May 18, 2025 7.45pm
Juventus 2 - 0 Udinese
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Lorenzo Lucca

Fiorentina

All competitions
Last game
May 18, 2025 7.45pm
Fiorentina 3 - 2 Bologna
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Moise Kean

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 44.41%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Udinese win was 2-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result

Udinese 30.96% ▼ (-0.48)
Draw 24.63% ▲ (+0.01)
Fiorentina 44.41% ▲ (+0.48)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.44% ▼ (-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.62% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 2.5 45.38% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 3.5 32.28% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 3.5 67.72% ▲ (+0.23)
Over 4.5 16.28% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 4.5 83.72% ▲ (+0.16)

Udinese Goals

Over 0.5 72.27% ▼ (-0.43)
Under 0.5 27.73% ▲ (+0.43)
Over 1.5 36.71% ▼ (-0.55)
Under 1.5 63.3% ▲ (+0.55)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5 79.47% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 0.5 20.53% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 1.5 46.97% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 1.5 53.03% ▼ (-0.18)

Score analysis

Udinese 30.96%
Draw 24.63%
Fiorentina 44.41%
Udinese
2-1 @ 7.42% ▼ (-0.08)
1-0 @ 7.3% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 4.68% ▼ (-0.07)
3-1 @ 3.17% ▼ (-0.08)
3-2 @ 2.51% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 2% ▼ (-0.06)
4-1 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 30.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.56% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.87% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 5.69% ▲ (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.63%
Fiorentina
1-2 @ 9.15% ▲ (+0.05)
0-1 @ 9.01% ▲ (+0.13)
0-2 @ 7.14% ▲ (+0.12)
1-3 @ 4.83% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 3.77% ▲ (+0.08)
2-3 @ 3.1% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.03)
0-4 @ 1.49% ▲ (+0.04)
2-4 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 44.41%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 17
Fiorentina
Dec 23, 2024 5.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
Udinese
  • Riccardo Sottil 5' yellowcard
  • Moise Kean 8' goal
  • Christian Kouame 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jordan Zemura 38'
  • yellowcard Thomas Kristensen 46'
  • goal Lorenzo Lucca 49'
  • yellowcard Kingsley Ehizibue 52'
  • goal Florian Thauvin 57'
  • yellowcard Razvan Sava 73'
  • yellowcard Sandi Lovric 90'+5'
Serie A Gameweek 20
Fiorentina
Jan 14, 2024 5.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
Udinese
  • Lucas Beltran 55' goal
  • Luca Ranieri 62' yellowcard
  • Mbala N'Zola 87' goal
  • goal Sandi Lovric 10'
  • yellowcard Hassane Kamara 35'
  • goal Florian Thauvin 73'
Serie A Gameweek 5
Udinese
Sep 24, 2023 2.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Dacia Arena
Fiorentina
  • goal Lucas Martinez 32'
  • yellowcard Luca Ranieri 39'
  • goal Giacomo Bonaventura 90'+2'
Serie A Gameweek 35
Fiorentina
May 14, 2023 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
Udinese
  • Gaetano Castrovilli 7' goal
  • Giacomo Bonaventura 90' goal
Serie A Gameweek 4
Udinese
Aug 31, 2022 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Dacia Arena
Fiorentina
  • Beto 17' goal
Serie A Gameweek 20
Fiorentina
Apr 27, 2022 5.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT
Udinese
  • Nicolas Gonzalez 49' yellowcard
  • Lucas Torreira 59' yellowcard
  • Youssef Maleh 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Pablo Mari 12'
  • yellowcard Bram Nuytinck 16'
  • goal Gerard Deulofeu 36'
  • yellowcard Gerard Deulofeu 49'
  • yellowcard Jean-Victor Makengo 55'
  • yellowcard Destiny Udogie 80'
  • goal Walace 90'+1'
  • goal Destiny Udogie 90'+5'

Form Data

Juventus 2 - 0 Udinese
Udinese 1 - 2 Monza
Cagliari 1 - 2 Udinese
Udinese 0 - 0 Bologna
Torino 2 - 0 Udinese
Udinese 0 - 4 AC Milan
Fiorentina 3 - 2 Bologna
Venezia 2 - 1 Fiorentina
Fiorentina 2 - 2 Betis
Roma 1 - 0 Fiorentina
Betis 2 - 1 Fiorentina
Fiorentina 2 - 1 Empoli