Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 77.13%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 7.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.68%) and 3-0 (11.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.27%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (3.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.