Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 36

May 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Napoli
2 - 2
Genoa

Lukaku (15'), Raspadori (64')
Billing (89')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Meret (32' og.), Vasquez (84')
Vasquez (45'), Vitinha (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions

Last Game: Lecce 0-1 Napoli
Saturday, May 3 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Genoa

All competitions

Last Game: Genoa 1-2 AC Milan
Monday, May 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 77.13%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 7.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.68%) and 3-0 (11.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.27%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (3.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Genoa
77.13% ( -0.52)	15.52% ( 0.32)	7.34% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 39.44% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.78% (

-0.7)

44.22% (

0.7)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.4% (

-0.69)

66.6% (

0.68)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.39% (

-0.3)

9.6% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.89% (

-0.71)

32.1% (

0.7)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

43.63% (

0.06)

56.37% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.32% (

0.04)

88.68% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Napoli 77.11%

Genoa 7.34%

Draw 15.52%

Napoli	Draw	Genoa
2-0 @ 14.85% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 12.68% ( 0.22) 3-0 @ 11.6% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 3.9% ( -0.08) 5-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.06) 6-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.84% Total : 77.11%	1-1 @ 7.27% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.4% Total : 15.52%	0-1 @ 3.1% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.16% Total : 7.34%