Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 53.73%. A draw had a probability of 25.85% and a win for Pisa had a probability of 20.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%) , while for a Pisa win it was 0-1 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.