Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 72.51%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Parma had a probability of 10.71%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.94%), while for a Parma win it was 0-1 (3.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.