Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 38

May 25, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Gewiss Stadium

Atalanta
2 - 3
Parma

Maldini (32', 33')
Djimsiti (47')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Hainaut (49'), Ondrejka (71', 90+1')
Balogh (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta and Parma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Last Game: Genoa 2-3 Atalanta
Saturday, May 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Parma

All competitions

Last Game: Parma 0-0 Napoli
Sunday, May 18 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 72.51%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Parma had a probability of 10.71%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.94%), while for a Parma win it was 0-1 (3.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BC	Draw	Parma
72.51% ( 0.23)	16.78% ( -0.12)	10.71% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 49.65% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.27% (

0.3)

38.73% (

-0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.96% (

0.31)

61.04% (

-0.31)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.67% (

0.14)

9.33% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.53% (

0.31)

31.47% (

-0.3)

Parma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.76% (

0.01)

45.24% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.88% (

0.01)

81.12% (

Score Analysis

Atalanta BC 72.5%

Parma 10.71%

Draw 16.78%

Atalanta BC	Draw	Parma
2-0 @ 11.87% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 10.01% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 4.42% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.91% Total : 72.5%	1-1 @ 7.94% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.22% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.88% Total : 16.78%	0-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 1.89% Total : 10.71%