Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 66.37%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Parma had a probability of 13.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.14%) and 1-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a Parma win it was 1-0 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.