Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 66.37%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Parma had a probability of 13.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.14%) and 1-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a Parma win it was 1-0 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Parma | Draw | Napoli |
| 13.94% | 19.68% ( | 66.37% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.79% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.16% ( | 43.84% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.77% ( | 66.22% ( |
| Parma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.78% ( | 43.22% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.53% ( | 79.47% ( |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.68% ( | 12.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.88% ( | 38.11% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Parma | Draw | Napoli |
| 1-0 @ 4.47% ( 2-1 @ 3.92% ( 2-0 @ 1.87% ( 3-2 @ 1.15% ( 3-1 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 1.44% Total : 13.94% | 1-1 @ 9.35% ( 0-0 @ 5.32% ( 2-2 @ 4.11% ( Other @ 0.9% Total : 19.68% | 0-2 @ 11.67% ( 0-1 @ 11.14% ( 1-2 @ 9.79% ( 0-3 @ 8.15% ( 1-3 @ 6.84% ( 0-4 @ 4.27% ( 1-4 @ 3.58% ( 2-3 @ 2.87% ( 0-5 @ 1.79% ( 2-4 @ 1.5% ( 1-5 @ 1.5% ( Other @ 3.28% Total : 66.36% |