Segunda Division Gameweek 2
Aug 22, 2026 6.00pm
Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube

Ceuta vs Las Palmas - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ceuta

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 4.00pm
FC Andorra 5 - 1 Ceuta

Las Palmas

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Aug 16, 2026 8.30pm
Las Palmas 2 - 1 Albacete

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Las Palmas win with a probability of 39.54%. A win for Ceuta has a probability of 33.59% and a draw has a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Ceuta win is 1-0 (8.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.45%).

Result

Ceuta 33.59% (-0.22)
Draw 26.9% (+0.02)
Las Palmas 39.54% (+0.26)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.11% (+0.59)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.32% (+0.59)
Under 1.5 25.68% (-0.59)
Over 2.5 49.98% (+0.89)
Under 2.5 50.02% (-0.89)
Over 3.5 28.74% (+0.71)
Under 3.5 71.26% (-0.71)
Over 4.5 15.97% (+0.55)
Under 4.5 84.03% (-0.54)

First Half Winner

Ceuta 26.34% (-0.74)
Draw 45.78% (+0.60)
Las Palmas 27.87% (+0.15)

Team To Score First

Ceuta 44.13% (-1.98)
No Goal 7.69% (-0.16)
Las Palmas 48.18% (+2.15)

Corners

Over 8 46.53% (-4.23)
Equal 8 12.7% (-0.09)
Under 8 40.77% (+4.32)
Over 9 34.69% (-3.75)
Equal 9 11.84% (-0.50)
Under 9 53.47% (+4.23)
Over 10.5 24.59% (-3.00)
Under 10.5 75.41% (+3.00)

Ceuta Goals

Over 1.5 34.67% (+0.32)
Under 1.5 65.33% (-0.32)
Over 2.5 13.31% (+0.29)
Under 2.5 86.69% (-0.29)
Over 3.5 4.36% (+0.23)
Under 3.5 95.64% (-0.22)

Las Palmas Goals

Over 0.5 72% (+0.41)
Under 0.5 28% (-0.40)
Over 1.5 39.09% (+0.70)
Under 1.5 60.91% (-0.70)
Over 2.5 16.24% (+0.47)
Under 2.5 83.76% (-0.47)
Over 3.5 5.45% (+0.25)
Under 3.5 94.55% (-0.25)

Score analysis

Ceuta 33.6%
Draw 26.91%
Las Palmas 39.54%
Ceuta
1-0 @ 8.44% (-0.23)
2-1 @ 7.63%
2-0 @ 5.36% (-0.17)
3-1 @ 3.23% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.38% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.25% (+0.05)
Other @ 4.31% (+0.18)
Total : 33.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.45% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 7.69% (-0.16)
2-2 @ 5.63% (+0.17)
3-3 @ 1.09% (+0.08)
Other @ 0.05% (+0.04)
Total : 26.91%
Las Palmas
0-1 @ 9.6% (-0.15)
1-2 @ 8.32% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 6.52% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.92% (+0.07)
0-3 @ 3.04% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.74% (+0.04)
Other @ 5.4% (+0.21)
Total : 39.54%

Head to Head

Segunda Division Gameweek 29
Mar 8, 2026 1.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Gran Canaria
  • Manu Fuster 40' goal
  • Taisei Miyashiro 55' goal
  • Taisei Miyashiro 58' goal
  • Kirian Rodríguez 63' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Viera 69' yellowcard
  • Nicolás Benedetti 71' yellowcard
  • Ale García 72' yellowcard
  • Álex Suárez 72' yellowcard
  • Sandro Ramírez 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yann Bodiger 62'
  • yellowcard 62'
  • yellowcard Aboubacar Bassinga 62'
  • yellowcard Aboubacar Bassinga 64'
  • yellowcard Ignacio Schor 64'
  • yellowcard Manu Sánchez 81'
Segunda Division
Dec 14, 2025 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Cristian Rodriguez 27' yellowcard
  • Marcos Fernandez Sanchez 86' yellowcard
  • Jose Matos 89' goal
  • goal Enrique Clemente 52'
  • yellowcard Enzo Loiodice 75'
  • yellowcard Marvin Park 75'
  • yellowcard Jose Antonio Caro 80'