Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo La Coruna win with a probability of 47.99%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 27.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo La Coruna win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.86%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 1-2 (7.01%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.