Scottish Premiership Gameweek 10
Oct 25, 2026 2.00pm
Fir Park

Motherwell vs Hearts - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Motherwell

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Oct 17, 2026 3.00pm
Kilmarnock 3 - 2 Motherwell
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Alex Lowry

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Oct 18, 2026 3.00pm
Celtic 7 - 1 Hearts
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Josh McPake

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Motherwell win with a probability of 37.32%. A win for Hearts has a probability of 37.32% and a draw has a probability of 25.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.3%) and 2-0 (5.5%). The likeliest Hearts win is 1-2 (9.11%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.39%).

Result

Motherwell 37.32% ▼ (-0.15)
Draw 25.33%
Hearts 37.32% ▲ (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.27% ▼ (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.28% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 20.72% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 57.25% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 42.72%
Over 3.5 33.25% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 66.75% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 19.07% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 80.93% ▲ (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Motherwell 27.45%
Draw 41.16%
Hearts 31.39%

Team To Score First

Motherwell 47.34%
No Goal 5.69%
Hearts 46.97%

Corners

Over 8 61.85%
Equal 8 10.83%
Under 8 27.32%
Over 9 50.47%
Equal 9 11.38%
Under 9 38.14%
Over 10.5 39.48%
Under 10.5 60.52%

Motherwell Goals

Over 1.5 41.02% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 1.5 58.98% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 2.5 17.78% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 2.5 82.22% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 3.5 6.23% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 93.77% ▲ (+0.05)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5 72.35% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 27.65% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 40.67% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 59.33% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 17.28% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 82.72% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 5.97% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 94.03% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Motherwell 37.31%
Draw 25.32%
Hearts 37.32%
Motherwell
2-1 @ 8.64% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 7.3% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 5.5% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.97% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.18% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.79% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 5.93% ▼ (-0.06)
Total : 37.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.39% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.33%
0-0 @ 5.69%
3-3 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 25.32%
Hearts
1-2 @ 9.11% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 7.68% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.16% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.87% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 3.06% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.77% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 5.67% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 37.32%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 36
May 9, 2026 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Fir Park
  • Stephen Kingsley 25' goal
  • John Koutroumbis 77' yellowcard
  • 86' yellowcard
  • Callum Hendry 86' yellowcard
  • Regan Charles-Cook 86' yellowcard
  • goal Lawrence Shankland 43'
  • yellowcard Alexandros Kyziridis 46'
  • yellowcard Frankie Kent 63'
  • yellowcard Pierre Landry Kabore 72'
  • yellowcard Cammy Devlin 87'
  • yellowcard Jamie McCart 87'
Scottish Premiership
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT Tynecastle Park
  • Cláudio Braga 61' goal
  • Pierre Landry Kabore 66' yellowcard
  • Sabah Kerjota 66' yellowcard
  • Jordi Altena 79' yellowcard
  • Michael Steinwender 79' yellowcard
  • Lawrence Shankland 87' yellowcard
  • Jamie McCart 90' yellowcard
  • Pierre Landry Kabore 90'+2' goal
  • goal Emmanuel Longelo 50'
  • yellowcard Callum Hendry 88'
  • yellowcard Jordan McGhee 88'
  • yellowcard Sam Nicholson 89'
  • yellowcard Oscar Priestman 89'
Scottish Premiership
Nov 29, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Manny Longelo 73' yellowcard
  • Stephen Welsh 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lawrence Shankland 23'
  • yellowcard Alexandros Kiziridis 28'
  • yellowcard Cameron Devlin 81'
  • yellowcard Cameron Devlin 87'
  • yellowcard Christian Borchgrevink 90'
Scottish Premiership
Nov 29, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Aug 23, 2025 3.00pm
Scottish Premiership
Aug 23, 2025 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 0 0
FT